338Canada | Newmarket–Aurora (Ontario federal district)




35065 - Newmarket–Aurora

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 117,420 residents
Population density: 1978 pop./km² (rank: 88 of 338)
Median household income: $98 293 (rank: 35 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Tony Van Bynen (LPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

Your browser does not support the canvas element.



Federal vote projection | Newmarket–Aurora

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Newmarket–Aurora

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Newmarket–Aurora



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Newmarket–Aurora



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Newmarket–Aurora


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
39.1% ± 6.9% 43.7% Within confidence interval
37.9% ± 6.8% 38.3% Within confidence interval
13.0% ± 4.1% 11.5% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









Qc125.com © 2016-2021 - #1174