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Canada

Mississauga—Malton



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Mississauga—Malton


Liberal Iqwinder Gaheer*
Conservative Jaspreet Kaur Sandhu
NDP Inderjeetsingh Ailsinghani
PPC Nathan Quinlan

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Mississauga—Malton 62% ± 8%▲ LPC 32% ± 8% CPC 5% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 52.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Malton >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Malton

LPC 62% ± 8% CPC 32% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Malton 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 51% CPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 56% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 56% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 56% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 59% CPC 31% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 59% CPC 31% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 59% CPC 31% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 60% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 60% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 62% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Malton

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Malton



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 57.0% 52.7% 62% ± 8% CPC 26.4% 30.8% 32% ± 8% NDP 12.5% 13.7% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.8% 0.3% 0% ± 1% GPC 2.7% 1.9% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.