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Canada

Mississauga—Malton



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC
Mississauga—Malton 41% ± 8%▲ LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 52.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Malton 65%▲ LPC 35%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Malton

LPC 41% ± 8% CPC 39% ± 8% NDP 15% ± 5% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Malton 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 41% CPC 38% NDP 16% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 41% CPC 38% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 40% CPC 38% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 40% CPC 38% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 41% CPC 38% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 42% CPC 37% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 41% CPC 41% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 40% LPC 40% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 40% LPC 40% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 40% CPC 40% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Malton

LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Malton



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 57.0% 52.7% 41% ± 8% CPC 26.4% 30.8% 39% ± 8% NDP 12.5% 13.7% 15% ± 5% GPC 2.7% 1.9% 4% ± 3% PPC 0.8% 0.3% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.