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Canada


Newmarket–Aurora (federal)


MP: Tony Van Bynen (LPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC
Newmarket–Aurora 41% ± 8% CPC 40% ± 8% LPC 13% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 2% ± 2% PPC LPC 2021 43.71% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Newmarket–Aurora 54% CPC 46% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Newmarket–Aurora

LPC 40% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% NDP 13% ± 5% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Newmarket–Aurora 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Newmarket–Aurora

LPC 46% CPC 54% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Newmarket–Aurora



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 45.2% 43.1% 43.71% 40% ± 8% CPC 42.6% 37.8% 38.34% 41% ± 8% NDP 8.5% 10.7% 11.48% 13% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 4.16% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 5.8% 1.84% 4% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%