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Canada

Oakville East



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
CPC safe
Oakville East 52% ± 8%▼ CPC 31% ± 8%▲ LPC 11% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 46.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Oakville East >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Oakville East



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 39.5% 39.4% 52% ± 8% LPC 46.6% 46.2% 31% ± 8% NDP 7.8% 9.4% 11% ± 5% GPC 4.9% 1.6% 3% ± 3% PPC 1.1% 3.3% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.