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Recent electoral history | Longueuil—Saint-Hubert


2019 2021 2025 Projection BQ 40% ± 7% 38.5% 41.2% 39.7% LPC 40% ± 7% 34.2% 38.3% 41.0% CPC 11% ± 4% 6.3% 6.9% 14.3% NDP 7% ± 4% 8.5% 8.0% 5.0%

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338Canada Longueuil—Saint-Hubert projection

Latest update: March 1, 2026

Longueuil—Saint-Hubert 33% 47% 40% ± 7% BQ 33% 46% 40% ± 7% LPC 7% 15% 11% ± 4% CPC 3% 10% 7% ± 4% NDP LPC 2025 41.0% 338Canada vote projection | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Longueuil—Saint-Hubert 54%▲ BQ 46%▼ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Longueuil—Saint-Hubert

LPC 40% ± 7% CPC 11% ± 4% NDP 7% ± 4% BQ 40% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Longueuil—Saint-Hubert 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 43% BQ 39% CPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 44% BQ 37% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 45% BQ 37% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 45% BQ 37% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 45% BQ 37% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 45% BQ 37% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 44% BQ 38% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 43% BQ 39% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 42% BQ 39% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 42% BQ 40% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 41% LPC 40% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 40% LPC 40% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 40% LPC 40% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 41% LPC 39% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 41% LPC 38% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 41% LPC 38% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 41% LPC 38% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 42% LPC 38% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 42% LPC 38% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 43% LPC 37% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 44% LPC 36% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 8% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 8% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 8% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 8% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 44% LPC 34% CPC 12% NDP 8% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 BQ 40% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 7% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 BQ 40% LPC 39% CPC 13% NDP 7% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 BQ 40% LPC 40% CPC 11% NDP 7% 2026-03-01

Odds of winning | Longueuil—Saint-Hubert

LPC 46% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 54% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 55% BQ 45% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 59% BQ 41% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 58% BQ 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 58% BQ 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 56% BQ 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 61% BQ 39% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 59% BQ 41% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 56% BQ 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 76% BQ 24% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 87% BQ 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 90% BQ 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 92% BQ 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 89% BQ 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 91% BQ 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 83% BQ 17% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 75% BQ 25% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 68% BQ 32% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 62% BQ 38% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 58% BQ 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 BQ 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 BQ 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 BQ 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-03-01


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Demographic data | Longueuil—Saint-Hubert

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 85.9% French 4.9% English 3.1% Spanish 1.2% Arabic 0.6% Russian 0.5% Romanian 0.5% CreoleLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 10.9% No diploma 15.6% High school 16.1% Trade 18.1% College / Cégep 5.0% Some university 20.7% Bachelor's 13.5% PostgraduateLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 77.5% Not visible minority 22.5% Visible minority 9.3% Black 4.2% Latin American 4.0% Arab 1.2% Chinese 1.1% Southeast Asian 0.9% West AsianLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 49.6% Catholic 29.4% No Religion 7.8% Muslim 6.3% Christian (n.o.s.) 1.8% Orthodox 1.5% Other Christian 0.6% Buddhist 0.5% PentecostalLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 53.7% Owner 46.3% RenterLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 59.7% Employed 35.6% Not in labour force 4.7% UnemployedLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.8% Non-Indigenous 1.2% Indigenous identity 0.7% First Nations 0.4% Metis 0.1% OthersLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 77.2% Car / truck / van 15.2% Public transit 4.7% Walking 1.5% Bicycle 1.4% OtherLongueuil—Saint-HubertSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.