338Canada | Kitchener–Conestoga (Ontario federal district)




35046 - Kitchener–Conestoga

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 100,710 residents
Population density: 112 pop./km² (rank: 197 of 338)
Median household income: $95 323 (rank: 42 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Tim Louis (LPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Kitchener–Conestoga

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Kitchener–Conestoga

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Kitchener–Conestoga



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Kitchener–Conestoga



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Kitchener–Conestoga


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
37.3% ± 7.0% 39.2% Within confidence interval
38.4% ± 7.0% 38.2% Within confidence interval
11.9% ± 4.0% 11.7% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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