338Canada | Kitchener–Conestoga (Ontario federal district)




35046 - Kitchener–Conestoga

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 100,710 residents
Population density: 112 pop./km² (rank: 197 of 338)
Median household income: $95 323 (rank: 42 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Tim Louis (LPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Kitchener–Conestoga

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Kitchener–Conestoga

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Kitchener–Conestoga



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Kitchener–Conestoga




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Kitchener–Conestoga



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Kitchener–Conestoga


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
36.0% ± 8.5% 39.7% Within confidence interval
39.3% ± 8.7% 39.0% Within confidence interval
13.0% ± 5.0% 10.1% Within confidence interval
8.3% ± 3.8% 9.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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