338Canada | Cardigan (Prince Edward Island federal district)




11001 - Cardigan

Province: Prince Edward Island
Population (2016): 36,615 residents
Population density: 14.4 pop./km² (rank: 259 of 338)
Median household income: $65 287 (rank: 213 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Lawrence MacAulay (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Cardigan


Lawrence MacAulay
Wayne Phelan
Lynne Thiele
Michael MacLean
Kevin Hardy
Fred Macleod (CHP)





Federal vote projection | Cardigan

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Cardigan

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Cardigan



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Cardigan



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Cardigan


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.2% ± 10.6% 49.3% Within confidence interval
24.5% ± 8.6% 29.0% Within confidence interval
26.2% ± 9.5% 13.8% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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