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Canada


Cardigan (federal)


MP: Lawrence MacAulay (LPC)


Latest projection: March 19, 2023

LPC likely hold
Cardigan 47% ± 10% LPC 32% ± 9% CPC 12% ± 6% NDP 7% ± 5% GPC 2% ± 3% PPC LPC 2021 50.81% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50% 100% Cardigan 97% LPC 3% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 19, 2023


Popular vote projection | Cardigan

LPC 47% ± 10% CPC 32% ± 9% NDP 12% ± 6% GPC 7% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Cardigan 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Cardigan

LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Cardigan



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 65.0% 49.3% 50.81% 47% ± 10% CPC 16.2% 29.0% 30.99% 32% ± 9% NDP 11.1% 6.7% 9.45% 12% ± 6% GPC 6.4% 13.8% 4.84% 7% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 3.25% 2% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%