338Canada | Cardigan (Prince Edward Island federal district)





11001 - Cardigan

Province: Prince Edward Island
Population (2016): 36,615 residents
Population density: 14.4 pop./km² (rank: 259 of 338)
Median household income: $65 287 (rank: 213 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Lawrence MacAulay (LPC)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Cardigan

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Cardigan

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Cardigan



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Cardigan



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Cardigan


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
48.4% ± 9.0% 50.8% Within confidence interval
31.1% ± 8.2% 31.0% Within confidence interval
9.5% ± 5.0% 9.4% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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