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Canada


Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill (federal)


MP: Leah Taylor-Roy (LPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC
Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill 44% ± 8% LPC 44% ± 8% CPC 9% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 45.73% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill 50% LPC 50% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill

LPC 44% ± 8% CPC 44% ± 8% NDP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill

LPC 50% CPC 50% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 47.3% 42.4% 45.73% 44% ± 8% CPC 45.2% 44.4% 42.54% 44% ± 8% NDP 5.7% 7.2% 7.92% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 3.82% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 1.3% 4.1% 0.0% 1% ± 1%