338Canada | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill (Ontario federal district)




35003 - Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 115,230 residents
Population density: 1218 pop./km² (rank: 123 of 338)
Median household income: $106 395 (rank: 18 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Leah Taylor-Roy (LPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
43.1% ± 7.4% 45.7% Within confidence interval
42.4% ± 7.3% 42.5% Within confidence interval
8.5% ± 3.6% 7.9% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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