338Canada | Thunder Bay–Superior North (Ontario federal district)




35106 - Thunder Bay–Superior North

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 82,650 residents
Population density: 1.08 pop./km² (rank: 321 of 338)
Median household income: $68 125 (rank: 182 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Patricia Hajdu (LPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Thunder Bay–Superior North

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Thunder Bay–Superior North

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Thunder Bay–Superior North



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Thunder Bay–Superior North




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Thunder Bay–Superior North



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Thunder Bay–Superior North


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
35.4% ± 8.5% 42.9% Within confidence interval
17.6% ± 5.9% 25.6% Outside confidence interval
26.2% ± 8.0% 21.1% Within confidence interval
18.8% ± 6.7% 8.4% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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