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Thunder Bay–Superior North (federal)
MP: Patty Hadju (LPC)
Latest projection: March 19, 2023
Toss up LPC/NDP
Thunder Bay–Superior North
34% ± 7%
LPC
32% ± 7%
NDP
27% ± 7%
CPC
4% ± 3%
GPC
4% ± 3%
PPC
LPC 2021
40.71%
338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50%
100%
Thunder Bay–Superior North
57%
LPC
39%
NDP
4%
CPC
Odds of winning | March 19, 2023
Popular vote projection | Thunder Bay–Superior North
LPC 34% ± 7%
CPC 27% ± 7%
NDP 32% ± 7%
GPC 4% ± 3%
Popular vote projection % | Thunder Bay–Superior North
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
2023-09-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Thunder Bay–Superior North
LPC 57%
CPC 4%
NDP 39%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
2023-09-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Thunder Bay–Superior North
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
45.0%
42.9%
40.71%
34% ± 7%
NDP
23.2%
21.1%
27.12%
32% ± 7%
CPC
17.4%
25.6%
24.2%
27% ± 7%
PPC
0.0%
1.7%
5.94%
4% ± 3%
GPC
13.8%
8.4%
1.76%
4% ± 3%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%