338Canada | Thunder Bay–Superior North (Ontario federal district)




35106 - Thunder Bay–Superior North

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 82,650 residents
Population density: 1.08 pop./km² (rank: 321 of 338)
Median household income: $68 125 (rank: 182 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Patty Hadju (LPC)



Latest projection (October 10, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Thunder Bay–Superior North

Last update: October 10, 2021







Odds of winning | Thunder Bay–Superior North

Last update: October 10, 2021






Electoral history of Thunder Bay–Superior North



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Thunder Bay–Superior North



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Thunder Bay–Superior North


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
39.2% ± 7.1% 40.7% Within confidence interval
23.6% ± 5.7% 27.1% Within confidence interval
24.2% ± 5.8% 24.2% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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