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Canada


Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak


Latest projection: May 19, 2024
BQ safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak 59% ± 8%▲ BQ 20% ± 6%▼ CPC 10% ± 4%▼ LPC 5% ± 3% NDP 3% ± 2% GPC BQ 2021 54.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak

LPC 10% ± 4% CPC 20% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 59% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak

LPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC NDP BQ May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 56.7% 54.8% 59% ± 8% LPC 17.8% 16.9% 10% ± 4% CPC 16.1% 16.8% 20% ± 6% NDP 5.2% 5.1% 5% ± 3% PPC 0.9% 2.4% 1% ± 2% GPC 3.2% 1.5% 3% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.