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Canada


Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel (federal)


MP: Louis Plamondon (BQ)


Latest projection: December 3, 2023

BQ safe hold
Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel 51% ± 8%▲ 24% ± 6%▼ 13% ± 4% 7% ± 3% 4% ± 3% BQ 2021 54.81% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 3, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | December 3, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel

LPC 13% ± 4% CPC 24% ± 6% NDP 7% ± 3% BQ 51% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 40.0% 56.7% 54.81% 51% ± 8% LPC 24.3% 17.8% 16.9% 13% ± 4% CPC 11.4% 16.1% 16.81% 24% ± 6% NDP 22.1% 5.2% 5.06% 7% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 0.9% 2.45% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.3% 3.2% 1.54% 4% ± 3%