338Canada | Essex (Ontario federal district)





35026 - Essex

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 125,440 residents
Population density: 114 pop./km² (rank: 196 of 338)
Median household income: $88 045 (rank: 61 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Chris Lewis (CPC)



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Essex

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | Essex

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of Essex



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Essex



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Essex


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
38.4% ± 6.7% 41.1% Within confidence interval
36.7% ± 6.6% 31.9% Within confidence interval
15.7% ± 4.5% 15.4% Within confidence interval
6.5% ± 3.2% 9.9% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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