338Canada | Essex (Ontario federal district)




35026 - Essex

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 125,440 residents
Population density: 114 pop./km² (rank: 196 of 338)
Median household income: $88 045 (rank: 61 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Chris Lewis (CPC)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Essex

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Essex

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Essex



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Essex




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Essex



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Essex


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner
31.9% ± 8.2% 41.4% Outside confidence interval
43.7% ± 9.4% 34.6% Within confidence interval
19.1% ± 6.0% 19.0% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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