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Canada


Essex (federal)


MP: Chris Lewis (CPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

CPC likely hold
Essex 47% ± 8% CPC 32% ± 7% NDP 13% ± 4% LPC 5% ± 4% PPC 3% ± 2% GPC CPC 2021 41.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Essex 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Essex

LPC 13% ± 4% CPC 47% ± 8% NDP 32% ± 7% PPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Essex 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC

Odds of winning | Essex

LPC <1% CPC 99% NDP 1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Essex



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 35.7% 41.4% 41.1% 47% ± 8% NDP 41.4% 34.6% 31.85% 32% ± 7% LPC 20.9% 19.0% 15.41% 13% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.8% 9.9% 5% ± 4% GPC 1.9% 3.2% 1.23% 3% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%