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Canada


Burnaby North–Seymour (federal)


MP: Terry Beech (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

Toss up LPC/CPC
Burnaby North–Seymour 35% ± 7% 34% ± 7% 24% ± 6% 5% ± 4% LPC 2021 39.54% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Burnaby North–Seymour 59%▲ 40%▼ <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burnaby North–Seymour

LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 24% ± 6% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby North–Seymour 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Burnaby North–Seymour

LPC 40% CPC 59% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Burnaby North–Seymour



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 36.1% 35.5% 39.54% 34% ± 7% NDP 29.6% 32.3% 29.11% 24% ± 6% CPC 27.8% 19.4% 25.48% 35% ± 7% GPC 5.3% 9.6% 3.08% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 2.2% 2.79% 1% ± 1% IND 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0% ± 0%