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Burnaby Central


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
Toss up CPC/NDP
Burnaby Central 36% ± 8% NDP 34% ± 7% CPC 22% ± 6% LPC 4% ± 3% GPC NDP 2021 39.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burnaby Central 67% NDP 33% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burnaby Central

LPC 22% ± 6% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 36% ± 8% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby Central 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 39% NDP 34% LPC 20% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 39% NDP 34% LPC 20% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 38% NDP 35% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 37% CPC 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 37% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | Burnaby Central

LPC <1% CPC 33% NDP 67% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 82% NDP 18% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 68% NDP 32% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 55% NDP 45% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 61% CPC 39% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 65% CPC 35% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | Burnaby Central



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 37.5% 39.8% 36% ± 8% LPC 25.3% 31.2% 22% ± 6% CPC 28.7% 22.2% 34% ± 7% PPC 1.7% 3.4% 2% ± 3% GPC 6.0% 2.9% 4% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.