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Burnaby Central



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
Toss up CPC/NDP
Burnaby Central 36% ± 8% NDP 35% ± 8%▼ CPC 22% ± 6% LPC 4% ± 3% GPC NDP 2021 39.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burnaby Central 54%▲ NDP 46%▼ CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burnaby Central

LPC 22% ± 6% CPC 35% ± 8% NDP 36% ± 8% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby Central 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 39% NDP 34% LPC 20% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 39% NDP 34% LPC 20% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 38% NDP 35% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 37% CPC 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 37% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 37% CPC 33% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 37% CPC 34% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 37% CPC 33% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 25% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 34% NDP 33% LPC 26% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 25% GPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 35% NDP 35% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 36% CPC 33% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 25% GPC 4% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 36% NDP 36% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 36% CPC 35% LPC 22% GPC 4% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Burnaby Central

LPC <1% CPC 46% NDP 54% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 82% NDP 18% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 68% NDP 32% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 55% NDP 45% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 61% CPC 39% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 65% CPC 35% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 72% CPC 27% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 73% CPC 27% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 67% CPC 33% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 52% NDP 48% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 65% NDP 34% LPC 1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 59% NDP 39% LPC 2% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC 1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 52% NDP 48% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 55% CPC 45% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 62% CPC 38% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 66% CPC 34% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 62% CPC 38% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 52% NDP 48% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 56% NDP 43% LPC 1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 59% NDP 41% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 62% NDP 38% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 50% NDP 50% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 54% CPC 46% LPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Burnaby Central



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 37.5% 39.8% 36% ± 8% LPC 25.3% 31.2% 22% ± 6% CPC 28.7% 22.2% 35% ± 8% PPC 1.7% 3.4% 2% ± 2% GPC 6.0% 2.9% 4% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.