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Canada

LaSalle—Émard—Verdun


MP elect: Claude Guay (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun


Liberal Claude Guay
Conservative Zsolt Fischer
NDP Craig Sauve
Green Bisma Ansari
Bloc Quebecois Louis-Philippe Sauve*
PPC Gregory Yablunovsky
Marxist-Leninist Normand Chouinard
Rhinoceros Frederic Denomme
Communist Manuel Johnson
Centrist Fang Hu
Canadian Future Mark Khoury

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



LaSalle—Émard—Verdun 51% ± 6% LPC 21% ± 5% BQ 14% ± 4% CPC 10% ± 4% NDP LPC 2025 50.9% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% LaSalle—Émard—Verdun >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun

LPC 51% ± 6% CPC 14% ± 4% NDP 10% ± 4% BQ 21% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 30% NDP 26% LPC 24% CPC 15% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 29% NDP 26% LPC 24% CPC 15% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 29% NDP 26% LPC 25% CPC 15% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 28% NDP 26% LPC 26% CPC 15% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 30% BQ 26% NDP 25% CPC 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 33% BQ 26% NDP 22% CPC 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 35% BQ 25% NDP 20% CPC 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 38% BQ 24% NDP 19% CPC 13% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 39% BQ 23% NDP 19% CPC 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 41% BQ 22% NDP 17% CPC 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 43% BQ 22% NDP 17% CPC 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 48% BQ 21% NDP 13% CPC 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 48% BQ 21% NDP 13% CPC 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 49% BQ 20% NDP 13% CPC 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% BQ 19% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% BQ 19% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% BQ 18% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 11% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 54% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 54% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 54% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 54% BQ 15% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 52% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 13% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 52% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 51% BQ 17% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 50% BQ 17% CPC 14% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 50% BQ 17% CPC 14% NDP 13% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 50% BQ 17% CPC 14% NDP 13% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 50% BQ 17% CPC 14% NDP 13% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% BQ 19% NDP 13% CPC 12% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 51% BQ 21% CPC 14% NDP 10% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 51% BQ 21% CPC 14% NDP 10% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 51% BQ 21% CPC 14% NDP 10% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 51% BQ 21% CPC 14% NDP 10% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 19% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 22% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 25% LPC 14% CPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 67% NDP 11% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 90% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 97% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 51% ± 6% 44.1% 43.4% 50.9% BQ 21% ± 5% 23.7% 21.8% 21.3% CPC 14% ± 4% 7.2% 7.6% 13.8% NDP 10% ± 4% 16.2% 19.0% 10.4% GPC 2% ± 2% 6.7% 3.0% 2.4% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 1% 0.9% 3.4% 0.5%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.