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Canada

LaSalle—Émard—Verdun



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun


Liberal Claude Guay
Conservative Zsolt Fischer
NDP Craig Sauve
Green Bisma Ansari
Bloc Quebecois Louis-Philippe Sauve*
PPC Gregory Yablunovsky
Marxist-Leninist Normand Chouinard
Rhinoceros Frederic Denomme
Communist Manuel Johnson
Centrist Fang Hu
Canadian Future Mark Khoury

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



LaSalle—Émard—Verdun 54% ± 8% LPC 15% ± 5%▼ BQ 13% ± 5% CPC 12% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 43.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% LaSalle—Émard—Verdun >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun

LPC 54% ± 8% CPC 13% ± 5% NDP 12% ± 5% BQ 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 39% BQ 23% NDP 19% CPC 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 41% BQ 22% NDP 17% CPC 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 43% BQ 22% NDP 17% CPC 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 44% BQ 22% NDP 16% CPC 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 48% BQ 21% NDP 13% CPC 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 48% BQ 21% NDP 13% CPC 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 49% BQ 20% NDP 13% CPC 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% BQ 19% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% BQ 19% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% BQ 18% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% BQ 17% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 11% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 11% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 55% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 54% BQ 16% CPC 12% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 54% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 54% BQ 16% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 54% BQ 15% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | LaSalle—Émard—Verdun



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.1% 43.4% 54% ± 8% BQ 23.7% 21.8% 15% ± 5% CPC 7.2% 7.6% 13% ± 5% NDP 16.2% 19.0% 12% ± 5% GPC 6.7% 3.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 0.9% 3.4% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.