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Canada

Halifax West



Latest projection: March 25, 2025
LPC safe
Halifax West 63% ± 8%▲ LPC 21% ± 6%▼ CPC 12% ± 5%▼ NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 47.6% 338Canada vote projection | March 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax West >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Halifax West

LPC 63% ± 8% CPC 21% ± 6% NDP 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Halifax West 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP March 25, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 50% CPC 25% NDP 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 54% CPC 23% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 60% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 60% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 60% CPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 60% CPC 22% NDP 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 60% CPC 22% NDP 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 60% CPC 22% NDP 14% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Halifax West

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP March 25, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Halifax West



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.3% 47.6% 63% ± 8% CPC 18.1% 21.5% 21% ± 6% NDP 20.4% 26.0% 12% ± 5% GPC 12.5% 2.4% 3% ± 3% PPC 0.4% 2.3% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.