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Canada

Halifax West



Latest projection: December 29, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC
Halifax West 35% ± 7% CPC 33% ± 7% LPC 28% ± 7%▲ NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 47.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 29, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax West 66%▼ CPC 31%▲ LPC 4%▲ NDP Odds of winning | December 29, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Halifax West

LPC 33% ± 7% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 28% ± 7% GPC 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Halifax West 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 29, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 37% CPC 34% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 37% CPC 35% NDP 24% GPC 3% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 37% CPC 34% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 37% CPC 34% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 38% CPC 33% NDP 26% GPC 3% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 38% CPC 32% NDP 26% GPC 3% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 38% CPC 31% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 37% CPC 30% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 39% CPC 29% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 40% CPC 28% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 41% CPC 27% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 41% CPC 27% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 40% CPC 28% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 39% CPC 29% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 39% CPC 30% NDP 26% GPC 3% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 38% CPC 31% NDP 26% GPC 3% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 38% CPC 32% NDP 24% GPC 3% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 38% CPC 32% NDP 24% GPC 3% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 38% CPC 33% NDP 23% GPC 3% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 38% CPC 34% NDP 23% GPC 3% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 37% CPC 34% NDP 24% GPC 3% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 24% GPC 3% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 37% CPC 32% NDP 26% GPC 3% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 38% CPC 32% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 39% CPC 31% NDP 25% GPC 3% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 37% CPC 32% NDP 26% GPC 3% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 37% CPC 32% NDP 26% GPC 3% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 35% CPC 32% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 35% CPC 33% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 35% LPC 33% NDP 27% GPC 3% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 35% LPC 33% NDP 28% GPC 3% 2024-12-29

Odds of winning | Halifax West

LPC 31% CPC 66% NDP 4% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 29, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 71% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 79% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 86% CPC 13% NDP 1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 90% CPC 8% NDP 1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 89% CPC 9% NDP 2% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 96% CPC 3% NDP 1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 98% CPC 1% NDP 1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 98% CPC 1% NDP 1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP 1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP 1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 91% CPC 8% NDP 1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 71% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 75% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP 1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 80% CPC 19% NDP 1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 92% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP 1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 80% CPC 19% NDP 1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 67% CPC 30% NDP 3% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 63% CPC 34% NDP 3% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 67% LPC 30% NDP 3% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 66% LPC 31% NDP 4% 2024-12-29

Recent electoral history | Halifax West



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 18.1% 21.5% 35% ± 7% LPC 48.3% 47.6% 33% ± 7% NDP 20.4% 26.0% 28% ± 7% GPC 12.5% 2.4% 3% ± 3% PPC 0.4% 2.3% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.