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Canada

Halifax West


MP elect: Lena Metlege Diab (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Halifax West


Liberal Lena Metlege Diab*
Conservative Rob Batherson
NDP Rae Tench
Green Ron Parker
PPC Adam LeRue

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Halifax West 66% ± 6%▲ LPC 27% ± 6%▼ CPC 6% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 65.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax West >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Halifax West

LPC 66% ± 6% CPC 27% ± 6% NDP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Halifax West 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 35% LPC 34% NDP 26% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 35% LPC 34% NDP 26% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 35% LPC 34% NDP 26% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 26% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 40% CPC 32% NDP 24% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 44% CPC 30% NDP 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 47% CPC 29% NDP 19% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 50% CPC 25% NDP 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 54% CPC 23% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 60% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 60% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 60% CPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 60% CPC 22% NDP 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 60% CPC 22% NDP 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 60% CPC 22% NDP 14% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 62% CPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 64% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 64% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 64% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 64% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 63% CPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 63% CPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 63% CPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 63% CPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 63% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 60% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 59% CPC 25% NDP 14% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 59% CPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 59% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 59% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 59% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 65% CPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 65% CPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 65% CPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 66% CPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Halifax West

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 59% LPC 39% NDP 1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 53% LPC 46% NDP 2% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 50% LPC 49% NDP 2% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 67% CPC 32% NDP 1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Halifax West



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 66% ± 6% 48.3% 47.6% 65.6% CPC 27% ± 6% 18.1% 21.5% 27.2% NDP 6% ± 3% 20.4% 26.0% 5.6% GPC 1% ± 1% 12.5% 2.4% 0.9% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.4% 2.3% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.