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Canada


Kings–Hants (federal)


MP: Kody Blois (LPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC leaning gain
Kings–Hants 39% ± 7% 35% ± 7% 21% ± 6% 3% ± 2% LPC 2021 44.91% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Kings–Hants 77%▼ 23%▲ <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Kings–Hants

LPC 35% ± 7% CPC 39% ± 7% NDP 21% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Kings–Hants 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Kings–Hants

LPC 23% CPC 77% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Kings–Hants



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 70.7% 43.3% 44.91% 35% ± 7% CPC 18.6% 24.8% 29.44% 39% ± 7% NDP 6.4% 17.2% 19.23% 21% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 1.6% 4.33% 2% ± 2% GPC 3.4% 12.6% 2.09% 3% ± 2%