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Canada

Saint-Laurent



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
LPC likely
Saint-Laurent 43% ± 9% LPC 31% ± 8%▲ CPC 13% ± 5% NDP 9% ± 5% BQ LPC 2021 59.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Laurent 97%▼ LPC 3%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Saint-Laurent



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 58.9% 59.3% 43% ± 9% CPC 17.3% 18.3% 31% ± 8% NDP 10.1% 10.8% 13% ± 5% BQ 7.0% 7.9% 9% ± 5% PPC 1.2% 3.2% 2% ± 3% GPC 5.2% 0.1% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.