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Canada

Saint-Laurent


MP elect: Emmanuella Lambropoulos (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Saint-Laurent


Liberal Emmanuella Lambropoulos*
Conservative Richard Serour
NDP Ryan Byrne
Green Richard Chambers
Bloc Quebecois Marielle Gendron
PPC Manon Chevalier
Marxist-Leninist Fernand Deschamps

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Saint-Laurent 59% ± 7% LPC 28% ± 6% CPC 6% ± 3% BQ 5% ± 3%▲ NDP LPC 2025 58.9% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Laurent >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Laurent

LPC 59% ± 7% CPC 28% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Laurent 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 43% CPC 30% NDP 13% BQ 9% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 43% CPC 31% NDP 13% BQ 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 44% CPC 30% NDP 13% BQ 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 45% CPC 29% NDP 13% BQ 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 50% CPC 27% NDP 12% BQ 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 53% CPC 26% NDP 10% BQ 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 54% CPC 26% NDP 9% BQ 7% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 57% CPC 24% NDP 9% BQ 6% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 57% CPC 24% NDP 8% BQ 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 59% CPC 24% NDP 8% BQ 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 61% CPC 23% NDP 8% BQ 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 61% CPC 23% NDP 7% BQ 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 61% CPC 23% NDP 7% BQ 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 61% CPC 23% NDP 7% BQ 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 61% CPC 23% NDP 7% BQ 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 61% CPC 22% NDP 7% BQ 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 6% BQ 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 6% BQ 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 6% BQ 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 6% BQ 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 6% BQ 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 65% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 65% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 66% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 66% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 67% CPC 21% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 67% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 67% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 68% CPC 21% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 68% CPC 20% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 66% CPC 20% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 66% CPC 20% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 66% CPC 21% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 65% CPC 21% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 65% CPC 21% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 65% CPC 21% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 62% CPC 23% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 62% CPC 24% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 6% BQ 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 6% BQ 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 5% BQ 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 59% CPC 28% BQ 6% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 59% CPC 28% BQ 6% NDP 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 59% CPC 28% BQ 6% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 59% CPC 28% BQ 6% NDP 5% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Laurent

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Saint-Laurent



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 59% ± 7% 58.9% 59.3% 58.9% CPC 28% ± 6% 17.3% 18.3% 28.2% BQ 6% ± 3% 7.0% 7.9% 5.7% NDP 5% ± 3% 10.1% 10.8% 4.5% GPC 2% ± 2% 5.2% 0.1% 1.6% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.2% 3.2% 0.8% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.