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Laurentides—Labelle

Latest update: March 8, 2026
B
MP: Marie-Helene Gaudreau
Quebec
BQ likely
Projection — Laurentides—Labelle → Demographic data — Laurentides—Labelle → Regional projection — Quebec → All federal districts → Federal projection map → Federal polls → Back to 338Canada home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Laurentides—Labelle


2019 2021 2025 Projection BQ 45% ± 7% 48.1% 52.3% 44.6% LPC 34% ± 7% 31.7% 23.5% 34.9% CPC 12% ± 4% 7.9% 10.5% 14.9% NDP 4% ± 3% 6.4% 5.6% 2.5% PPC 1% ± 2% 0.6% 3.6% 1.4%

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338Canada Laurentides—Labelle projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

Laurentides—Labelle 38% 53% 45% ± 7% ▼ BQ 27% 41% 34% ± 7% LPC 8% 16% 12% ± 4% CPC 1% 7% 4% ± 3% NDP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC BQ 2025 44.6% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Laurentides—Labelle 97%▼ BQ 3%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Laurentides—Labelle

LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 12% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 45% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Laurentides—Labelle 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 BQ 43% LPC 33% CPC 15% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 43% LPC 33% CPC 15% NDP 3% GPC 3% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 42% LPC 33% CPC 15% NDP 3% GPC 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 15% NDP 2% GPC 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 15% NDP 2% GPC 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 15% NDP 2% GPC 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 15% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 15% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 15% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 44% LPC 37% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 BQ 43% LPC 39% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 44% LPC 37% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 44% LPC 36% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 45% LPC 36% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 46% LPC 35% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 44% LPC 35% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 45% LPC 34% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 45% LPC 34% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 46% LPC 33% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 47% LPC 33% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 46% LPC 33% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 46% LPC 33% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 46% LPC 33% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 46% LPC 32% CPC 15% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 47% LPC 32% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 47% LPC 32% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 48% LPC 32% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 48% LPC 32% CPC 14% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 49% LPC 31% CPC 13% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 48% LPC 30% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 48% LPC 30% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 48% LPC 30% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 48% LPC 30% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 48% LPC 29% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 BQ 45% LPC 32% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 BQ 45% LPC 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 BQ 44% LPC 34% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 BQ 45% LPC 34% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 BQ 46% LPC 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 BQ 45% LPC 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | Laurentides—Labelle

LPC 3% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 97% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 BQ 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 BQ 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 BQ 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | Laurentides—Labelle

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 95.3% French 4.2% English 0.2% Spanish 0.0% Mandarin 0.0% Polish 0.0% Russian 0.0% ItalianLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 17.8% No diploma 19.3% High school 25.7% Trade 17.1% College / Cégep 3.5% Some university 11.5% Bachelor's 5.2% PostgraduateLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 98.5% Not visible minority 1.5% Visible minority 0.4% Latin American 0.3% Black 0.2% Chinese 0.1% Southeast Asian 0.1% South Asian 0.1% ArabLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 64.8% Catholic 28.4% No Religion 3.5% Christian (n.o.s.) 0.7% Other Christian 0.6% Jehovah's Witness 0.4% Anglican 0.3% Jewish 0.2% OrthodoxLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 71.9% Owner 28.2% RenterLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 48.6% Employed 45.6% Not in labour force 5.7% UnemployedLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 96.0% Non-Indigenous 4.0% Indigenous identity 2.2% Metis 1.5% First Nations 0.1% Others 0.1% MultipleLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 91.9% Car / truck / van 5.2% Walking 1.7% Other 0.7% Public transit 0.5% BicycleLaurentides—LabelleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.