338Canada | Avalon (Newfoundland and Labrador federal district)




10001 - Avalon

Province: Newfoundland and Labrador
Population (2016): 86,495 residents
Population density: 13.4 pop./km² (rank: 261 of 338)
Median household income: $78 336 (rank: 104 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Ken McDonald (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Avalon


Ken McDonald
Matthew Chapman
Carolyn Davis
Lainie Stewart





Federal vote projection | Avalon

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Avalon

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Avalon



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Avalon



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Avalon


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
49.4% ± 9.5% 46.3% Within confidence interval
24.4% ± 7.5% 31.1% Within confidence interval
20.9% ± 7.3% 17.3% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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