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338 Blog
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Canada
Electoral districts
All 338 electoral districts
Atlantic Canada
Quebec
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Avalon (federal)
MP: Ken McDonald (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC leaning hold
Avalon
46% ± 8%
LPC
38% ± 8%
CPC
15% ± 5%
NDP
LPC 2021
50.02%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Avalon
87%
LPC
13%
CPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Avalon
LPC 46% ± 8%
CPC 38% ± 8%
NDP 15% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Avalon
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
Odds of winning | Avalon
LPC 87%
CPC 13%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Avalon
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
55.9%
46.3%
50.02%
46% ± 8%
CPC
11.1%
31.1%
34.38%
38% ± 8%
NDP
14.4%
17.3%
13.86%
15% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
0.0%
1.74%
1% ± 2%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%
GPC
0.5%
5.4%
0.0%
1% ± 1%