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Canada


Avalon (federal)


MP: Ken McDonald (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC leaning hold
Avalon 46% ± 8% LPC 38% ± 8% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 50.02% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Avalon 87% LPC 13% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Avalon

LPC 46% ± 8% CPC 38% ± 8% NDP 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Avalon 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Avalon

LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Avalon



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 55.9% 46.3% 50.02% 46% ± 8% CPC 11.1% 31.1% 34.38% 38% ± 8% NDP 14.4% 17.3% 13.86% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 1.74% 1% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 0.5% 5.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%