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Canada

Brampton—Chinguacousy Park



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
CPC leaning
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 41% ± 8% CPC 35% ± 8% LPC 19% ± 6% NDP LPC 2021 50.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 86% CPC 14% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 35% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% NDP 19% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 18% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 40% CPC 38% NDP 18% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 39% CPC 38% NDP 19% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 39% LPC 39% NDP 18% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 39% CPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 39% LPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 39% LPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 39% LPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 39% LPC 38% NDP 18% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 39% LPC 38% NDP 18% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 39% CPC 38% NDP 18% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 40% CPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 40% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 16% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 41% LPC 38% NDP 16% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 16% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 42% LPC 36% NDP 17% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 40% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 40% LPC 38% NDP 17% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 39% LPC 39% NDP 17% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 41% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 41% LPC 36% NDP 18% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 19% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 41% LPC 35% NDP 19% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 14% CPC 86% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.0% 50.8% 35% ± 8% CPC 27.1% 31.0% 41% ± 8% NDP 18.6% 16.8% 19% ± 6% GPC 3.8% 0.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.4% 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.