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Canada

Brampton—Chinguacousy Park


MP elect: Shafqat Ali (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC leaning

Candidates | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park


Liberal Shafqat Ali
Conservative Tim Iqbal
NDP Teresa Yeh
Green Michael Dancy
PPC Jayesh Brahmbhatt
Centrist Hafiz Muneeb Ahmad
Independent Avi Dhaliwal

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 49% ± 0% LPC 45% ± 0%▲ CPC 3% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 48.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 80% LPC 20% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 49% ± 0% CPC 45% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 49% CPC 35% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 51% CPC 34% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 54% CPC 33% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 32% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 32% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% CPC 32% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 32% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 32% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 58% CPC 32% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 58% CPC 32% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% CPC 32% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 59% CPC 33% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 59% CPC 33% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 32% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 59% CPC 32% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 33% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 59% CPC 33% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 59% CPC 32% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 59% CPC 32% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% CPC 37% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 53% CPC 37% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 50% CPC 41% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 48% CPC 42% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 48% CPC 42% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 49% CPC 42% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 49% CPC 41% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 49% CPC 42% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 49% CPC 42% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 49% CPC 45% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 49% ± 0% 49.0% 50.8% 48.8% CPC 45% ± 0% 27.1% 31.0% 44.5% NDP 3% ± 0% 18.6% 16.8% 2.6% PPC 2% ± 0% 1.4% 0.0% 1.7% GPC 1% ± 0% 3.8% 0.0% 1.2% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.