logo
Canada


Brampton—Chinguacousy Park


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 40% ± 8% CPC 39% ± 8% LPC 18% ± 6%▲ NDP LPC 2021 50.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 58%▼ CPC 42%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 40% ± 8% NDP 18% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 42% CPC 58% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.0% 50.8% 39% ± 8% CPC 27.1% 31.0% 40% ± 8% NDP 18.6% 16.8% 18% ± 6% GPC 3.8% 0.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.4% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.