logo
Canada

Brampton—Chinguacousy Park



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park


Liberal Shafqat Ali
Conservative Tim Iqbal
NDP Teresa Yeh
Green Michael Dancy
PPC Jayesh Brahmbhatt
Centrist Hafiz Muneeb Ahmad
Independent Avi Dhaliwal

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 54% ± 9%▲ LPC 37% ± 8% CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 50.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 54% ± 9% CPC 37% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 12% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 51% CPC 34% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 59% CPC 33% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brampton—Chinguacousy Park



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.0% 50.8% 54% ± 9% CPC 27.1% 31.0% 37% ± 8% NDP 18.6% 16.8% 6% ± 4% GPC 3.8% 0.0% 1% ± 1% PPC 1.4% 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.