338Canada | Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel (Québec federal district)




24069 - Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 113,210 residents
Population density: 5593 pop./km² (rank: 18 of 338)
Median household income: $48 731 (rank: 325 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Patricia Lattanzio (LPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
60.7% ± 7.2% 69.2% Outside confidence interval
19.0% ± 5.1% 10.4% Outside confidence interval
9.1% ± 4.3% 8.3% Within confidence interval
7.2% ± 3.3% 8.3% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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