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Canada

Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel


Liberal Patricia Lattanzio*
Conservative Panagiota Koroneos
NDP Marwan El-Attar
Bloc Quebecois Laurie Lelacheur
PPC Caroline Mailloux

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel 71% ± 8% LPC 17% ± 6% CPC 5% ± 4% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 3% ± 4% PPC LPC 2021 69.6% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel

LPC 71% ± 8% CPC 17% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 4% BQ 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 62% CPC 19% NDP 7% BQ 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 63% CPC 18% BQ 7% NDP 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 65% CPC 17% BQ 7% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 65% CPC 17% BQ 7% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 65% CPC 17% BQ 7% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 65% CPC 17% BQ 7% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 65% CPC 17% BQ 7% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 65% CPC 17% BQ 7% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 67% CPC 17% BQ 7% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 67% CPC 16% BQ 7% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 67% CPC 17% BQ 6% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 67% CPC 17% BQ 6% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 68% CPC 17% BQ 6% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 68% CPC 17% BQ 6% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 68% CPC 17% BQ 6% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 69% CPC 17% BQ 5% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 70% CPC 17% BQ 5% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 71% CPC 17% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 71% CPC 17% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 71% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 71% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 71% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 72% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 72% CPC 15% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 72% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 72% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 72% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 71% CPC 16% BQ 5% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 71% CPC 17% NDP 5% BQ 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 71% CPC 17% NDP 5% BQ 5% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 61.5% 69.6% 71% ± 8% CPC 12.0% 10.5% 17% ± 6% NDP 6.4% 8.2% 5% ± 4% BQ 9.4% 8.0% 5% ± 3% PPC 1.1% 3.8% 3% ± 4% GPC 2.6% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.