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Canada

Edmonton Manning


Latest projection: September 8, 2024
CPC safe
Edmonton Manning 48% ± 8% CPC 31% ± 7%▲ NDP 17% ± 5% LPC 3% ± 4% PPC CPC 2021 41.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 8, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Manning >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | September 8, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Manning

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 48% ± 8% NDP 31% ± 7% PPC 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Manning 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP PPC September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 49% NDP 30% LPC 16% PPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 50% NDP 29% LPC 16% PPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 51% NDP 28% LPC 16% PPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 50% NDP 28% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 50% NDP 29% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 49% NDP 29% LPC 18% PPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 49% NDP 30% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 49% NDP 29% LPC 16% PPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 49% NDP 29% LPC 16% PPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 50% NDP 29% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 50% NDP 28% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 50% NDP 28% LPC 17% PPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 50% NDP 29% LPC 16% PPC 3% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 50% NDP 29% LPC 16% PPC 3% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 50% NDP 29% LPC 16% PPC 3% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 49% NDP 30% LPC 16% PPC 3% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 48% NDP 30% LPC 17% PPC 3% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 48% NDP 31% LPC 17% PPC 3% 2024-09-08

Odds of winning | Edmonton Manning

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-08

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Manning



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 56.0% 41.1% 48% ± 8% NDP 18.3% 31.0% 31% ± 7% LPC 20.6% 20.6% 17% ± 5% PPC 2.1% 7.0% 3% ± 4% GPC 2.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.