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Recent electoral history | Edmonton Manning


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 43% ± 7% 56.0% 41.1% 53.1% LPC 41% ± 7% 20.6% 20.6% 35.3% NDP 13% ± 5% 18.3% 31.0% 9.9% PPC 1% ± 2% 2.1% 7.0% 1.6%

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338Canada Edmonton Manning projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

Edmonton Manning 36% 50% 43% ± 7% CPC 34% 48% 41% ± 7% LPC 8% 18% 13% ± 5% NDP CPC 2025 53.1% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Manning 63%▼ CPC 37%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Manning

LPC 41% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 7% NDP 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Manning 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 12% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 52% LPC 36% NDP 10% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 11% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 11% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 13% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 13% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 13% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 14% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 14% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 47% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 14% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 14% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 14% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 48% LPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 15% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 15% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 15% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 15% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 15% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 15% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 13% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 13% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 13% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 46% LPC 38% NDP 13% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | Edmonton Manning

LPC 37% CPC 63% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | Edmonton Manning

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 79.8% English 2.8% Punjabi 1.9% Cantonese 1.9% Tagalog 1.7% Arabic 1.5% Spanish 1.3% SomaliEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 13.1% No diploma 28.8% High school 9.9% Trade 21.3% College / Cégep 4.2% Some university 17.1% Bachelor's 5.5% PostgraduateEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 53.8% Not visible minority 46.2% Visible minority 14.2% Black 8.0% South Asian 5.7% Filipino 5.0% Chinese 4.6% Arab 2.8% Latin AmericanEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 31.5% No Religion 23.7% Catholic 11.6% Muslim 10.1% Christian (n.o.s.) 3.4% Sikh 2.8% Orthodox 2.4% Other Christian 2.1% PentecostalEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 70.6% Owner 29.4% RenterEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 58.5% Employed 32.7% Not in labour force 8.8% UnemployedEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 93.5% Non-Indigenous 6.5% Indigenous identity 3.2% Metis 3.0% First Nations 0.1% Multiple 0.1% Inuk 0.1% OthersEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 87.3% Car / truck / van 8.3% Public transit 2.1% Other 1.9% Walking 0.3% BicycleEdmonton ManningSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.