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Canada

Edmonton Manning


MP elect: Ziad Aboultaif (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Edmonton Manning


Liberal Blair-Marie Coles
Conservative Ziad Aboultaif*
NDP Lesley Thompson
PPC Robert Bard

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Manning 53% ± 0%▲ CPC 35% ± 0%▼ LPC 10% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 53.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Manning >99%▲ CPC <1%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Manning

LPC 35% ± 0% CPC 53% ± 0% NDP 10% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Manning 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 50% LPC 23% NDP 22% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 47% LPC 29% NDP 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 44% LPC 36% NDP 17% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 17% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 43% LPC 37% NDP 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 18% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 18% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 18% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 44% LPC 37% NDP 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 44% LPC 37% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 44% LPC 37% NDP 16% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 15% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 15% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 46% LPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 46% LPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 46% LPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 46% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 12% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Manning

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Manning



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 53% ± 0% 56.0% 41.1% 53.1% LPC 35% ± 0% 20.6% 20.6% 35.3% NDP 10% ± 0% 18.3% 31.0% 9.9% PPC 2% ± 0% 2.1% 7.0% 1.6% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.