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Canada

Vancouver Kingsway



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
NDP safe
Vancouver Kingsway 47% ± 8%▲ NDP 25% ± 7%▼ CPC 20% ± 6%▼ LPC 5% ± 4% GPC NDP 2021 50.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Kingsway >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC 20% ± 6% CPC 25% ± 7% NDP 47% ± 8% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Kingsway 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 45% CPC 28% LPC 20% GPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 45% CPC 27% LPC 20% GPC 5% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 46% CPC 27% LPC 20% GPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 46% CPC 26% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 46% CPC 25% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 46% CPC 25% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 48% CPC 24% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 47% CPC 24% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 47% CPC 24% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 47% CPC 23% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 47% CPC 23% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 47% CPC 23% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 48% CPC 23% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 47% CPC 24% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 48% CPC 23% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 47% CPC 23% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 45% CPC 25% LPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 45% CPC 24% LPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 43% CPC 25% LPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 43% CPC 25% LPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 44% CPC 25% LPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 46% CPC 25% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 46% CPC 25% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 46% CPC 24% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 46% CPC 24% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 46% CPC 24% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 45% CPC 25% LPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 44% CPC 25% LPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 44% CPC 26% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 45% CPC 26% LPC 22% GPC 5% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 46% CPC 26% LPC 21% GPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 47% CPC 25% LPC 20% GPC 5% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Kingsway



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 47.1% 50.4% 47% ± 8% LPC 24.4% 29.0% 20% ± 6% CPC 20.5% 14.1% 25% ± 7% GPC 6.1% 3.6% 5% ± 4% PPC 1.0% 2.2% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.