logo
Canada

Vancouver Kingsway


MP elect: Don Davies (NDP)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
Toss up LPC/NDP

Candidates | Vancouver Kingsway


Liberal Amy Gill
Conservative Ravinder Bhatia
NDP Don Davies*
Green Imtiaz Popat
PPC Fiona Wang

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Vancouver Kingsway 37% ± 0%▼ NDP 37% ± 0%▼ LPC 25% ± 0%▲ CPC NDP 2025 37.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Kingsway 56%▼ NDP 44%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC 37% ± 0% CPC 25% ± 0% NDP 37% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Kingsway 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 38% LPC 34% CPC 22% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 37% LPC 35% CPC 22% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 41% NDP 32% CPC 22% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 41% NDP 32% CPC 22% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 41% NDP 32% CPC 22% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 42% NDP 31% CPC 22% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 42% NDP 31% CPC 22% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 43% NDP 31% CPC 22% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 42% NDP 32% CPC 21% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 42% NDP 32% CPC 21% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 42% NDP 32% CPC 21% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 42% NDP 32% CPC 21% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 43% NDP 32% CPC 21% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 43% NDP 32% CPC 21% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 43% NDP 31% CPC 21% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 44% NDP 32% CPC 20% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 45% NDP 32% CPC 20% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 46% NDP 32% CPC 19% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 46% NDP 32% CPC 20% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 45% NDP 32% CPC 20% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 44% NDP 33% CPC 20% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 44% NDP 33% CPC 20% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 45% NDP 32% CPC 20% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 46% NDP 31% CPC 20% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 47% NDP 31% CPC 20% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 45% NDP 33% CPC 19% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 43% NDP 36% CPC 18% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 42% NDP 37% CPC 18% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 42% NDP 38% CPC 18% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 41% NDP 39% CPC 18% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 41% NDP 39% CPC 18% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 18% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 40% NDP 40% CPC 18% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 18% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 18% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 40% LPC 40% CPC 18% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 40% LPC 39% CPC 19% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 40% LPC 39% CPC 19% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 39% LPC 39% CPC 19% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 19% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 19% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 40% NDP 39% CPC 19% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 40% LPC 39% CPC 19% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 37% LPC 37% CPC 25% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver Kingsway

LPC 44% NDP 56% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 73% LPC 27% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 63% LPC 37% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 92% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 93% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 94% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 95% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 96% NDP 4% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% NDP 3% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 94% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 95% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 96% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 95% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 96% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 97% NDP 3% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 97% NDP 3% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 97% NDP 3% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 97% NDP 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% NDP 1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 98% NDP 2% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% NDP 2% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 95% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 96% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 98% NDP 2% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 99% NDP 1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 99% NDP 1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 97% NDP 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 85% NDP 15% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 77% NDP 23% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 73% NDP 27% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 59% NDP 41% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 63% NDP 37% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 56% NDP 44% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 51% NDP 49% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 54% NDP 46% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% NDP 48% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 51% LPC 49% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 59% LPC 41% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 54% LPC 46% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 51% LPC 49% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 54% NDP 46% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 53% NDP 47% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% NDP 45% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 58% LPC 42% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 56% LPC 44% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Kingsway



2019 2021 2025 Proj. NDP 37% ± 0% 47.1% 50.4% 37.2% LPC 37% ± 0% 24.4% 29.0% 36.6% CPC 25% ± 0% 20.5% 14.1% 24.5% GPC 1% ± 0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.0% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.0% 2.2% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.