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Canada

Lévis—Lotbinière



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Lévis—Lotbinière


Liberal Ghislain Daigle
Conservative Jacques Gourde*
NDP Molly Cornish
Bloc Quebecois Pierre Julien
PPC Pier-Olivier Roy

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Lévis—Lotbinière 53% ± 8%▼ CPC 28% ± 7%▲ LPC 13% ± 4% BQ 4% ± 3% NDP CPC 2021 49.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lévis—Lotbinière >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lévis—Lotbinière

LPC 28% ± 7% CPC 53% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 13% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Lévis—Lotbinière 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 53% BQ 19% LPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 52% BQ 19% LPC 17% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 52% BQ 19% LPC 18% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 52% BQ 19% LPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 52% BQ 18% LPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 52% BQ 19% LPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 51% BQ 19% LPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 51% BQ 19% LPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 50% LPC 21% BQ 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 50% LPC 21% BQ 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 50% LPC 21% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 51% LPC 21% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 51% LPC 22% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 52% LPC 22% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 52% LPC 22% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 53% LPC 23% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 53% LPC 23% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 53% LPC 24% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 53% LPC 24% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 53% LPC 24% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 54% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 57% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 58% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 58% LPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 58% LPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 59% LPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 57% LPC 24% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 54% LPC 27% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 53% LPC 28% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Lévis—Lotbinière

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Lévis—Lotbinière



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 42.4% 49.7% 53% ± 8% LPC 18.0% 15.4% 28% ± 7% BQ 25.8% 22.8% 13% ± 4% NDP 7.1% 7.3% 4% ± 3% PPC 3.5% 2.4% 2% ± 3% GPC 3.1% 1.4% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.