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Lévis—Lotbinière

Latest update: March 1, 2026
C
MP: Jacques Gourde
Quebec
CPC likely
Projection — Lévis—Lotbinière → Demographic data — Lévis—Lotbinière → Regional projection — Quebec → All federal districts → Federal projection map → Federal polls → Back to 338Canada home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Lévis—Lotbinière


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 41% ± 6% 42.4% 49.7% 47.7% LPC 31% ± 6% 18.0% 15.4% 29.4% BQ 23% ± 5% 25.8% 22.8% 19.5% NDP 3% ± 2% 7.1% 7.3% 2.3%

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338Canada Lévis—Lotbinière projection

Latest update: March 1, 2026

Lévis—Lotbinière 34% 47% 41% ± 6% ▼ CPC 25% 36% 31% ± 6% ▲ LPC 18% 29% 23% ± 5% ▲ BQ 1% 6% 3% ± 2% NDP CPC 2025 47.7% 338Canada vote projection | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lévis—Lotbinière 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Lévis—Lotbinière

LPC 31% ± 6% CPC 41% ± 6% BQ 23% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Lévis—Lotbinière 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 53% LPC 25% BQ 16% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% LPC 25% BQ 16% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 53% LPC 25% BQ 16% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 48% LPC 29% BQ 20% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 48% LPC 29% BQ 20% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 48% LPC 29% BQ 19% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 48% LPC 29% BQ 20% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 48% LPC 29% BQ 20% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 47% LPC 30% BQ 20% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 47% LPC 30% BQ 20% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 46% LPC 30% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 45% LPC 32% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 44% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 44% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 44% LPC 34% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 43% LPC 34% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 43% LPC 34% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 43% LPC 33% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 43% LPC 32% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 44% LPC 32% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 44% LPC 31% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 44% LPC 31% BQ 22% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 45% LPC 31% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 45% LPC 30% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 46% LPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 46% LPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 46% LPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 46% LPC 29% BQ 22% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 46% LPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 46% LPC 29% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 47% LPC 28% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 48% LPC 28% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 47% LPC 28% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 47% LPC 28% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 44% LPC 29% BQ 24% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 44% LPC 28% BQ 24% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 44% LPC 28% BQ 25% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 41% LPC 27% BQ 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 41% LPC 27% BQ 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 41% LPC 27% BQ 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 41% LPC 27% BQ 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 41% LPC 27% BQ 25% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 43% LPC 29% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 43% LPC 29% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 42% LPC 30% BQ 22% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 42% LPC 30% BQ 22% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 41% LPC 31% BQ 23% NDP 3% GPC 1% 2026-03-01

Odds of winning | Lévis—Lotbinière

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% BQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 96% LPC 4% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 96% LPC 4% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 95% LPC 5% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 93% LPC 7% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 96% LPC 4% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-03-01


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Demographic data | Lévis—Lotbinière

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 98.4% French 0.8% English 0.3% Spanish 0.1% Arabic 0.1% Portuguese 0.1% Mandarin 0.0% RomanianLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.6% No diploma 13.6% High school 21.9% Trade 24.4% College / Cégep 4.1% Some university 20.0% Bachelor's 9.5% PostgraduateLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 97.0% Not visible minority 3.0% Visible minority 1.1% Black 0.6% Arab 0.5% Latin American 0.3% Chinese 0.2% Southeast Asian 0.1% South AsianLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 63.8% Catholic 27.0% No Religion 6.7% Christian (n.o.s.) 0.9% Muslim 0.5% Other Christian 0.2% Jehovah's Witness 0.2% Other Religions 0.2% PentecostalLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 75.0% Owner 25.0% RenterLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 67.6% Employed 29.1% Not in labour force 3.3% UnemployedLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.6% Non-Indigenous 1.4% Indigenous identity 0.7% First Nations 0.5% Metis 0.1% OthersLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 92.7% Car / truck / van 3.1% Walking 2.2% Public transit 1.5% Other 0.6% BicycleLévis—LotbinièreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.