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Canada

Sackville—Bedford—Preston


MP: Braedon Clark (LPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
LPC safe

Recent electoral history | Sackville—Bedford—Preston


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 62% ± 8% 44.3% 44.7% 62.0% CPC 32% ± 7% 22.0% 25.0% 32.4% NDP 4% ± 3% 21.5% 24.8% 4.0% GPC 1% ± 1% 11.2% 2.0% 0.9% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 3.5% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.



Sackville—Bedford—Preston 62% ± 8% LPC 32% ± 7% CPC 4% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 62.0% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sackville—Bedford—Preston >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sackville—Bedford—Preston

LPC 62% ± 8% CPC 32% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Sackville—Bedford—Preston 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 40% LPC 31% NDP 24% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 25% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 25% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 38% LPC 33% NDP 24% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 37% LPC 36% NDP 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 41% CPC 35% NDP 19% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 18% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 47% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 47% CPC 29% NDP 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 51% CPC 27% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 57% CPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 60% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 60% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 59% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 59% CPC 30% NDP 9% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 62% CPC 33% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 62% CPC 33% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 62% CPC 33% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 62% CPC 32% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 62% CPC 32% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 62% CPC 32% NDP 4% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Sackville—Bedford—Preston

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader