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Canada

Sackville—Bedford—Preston


MP elect: Braedon Clark (LPC)

Latest projection: May 11, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Sackville—Bedford—Preston


Liberal Braedon Clark
Conservative Dave Carroll
NDP Isaac Wilson
Green Andre Anderson
PPC Ryan Slaney

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Sackville—Bedford—Preston 62% ± 5% LPC 33% ± 5% CPC 4% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 61.9% 338Canada vote projection | May 11, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sackville—Bedford—Preston >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 11, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sackville—Bedford—Preston

LPC 62% ± 5% CPC 33% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Sackville—Bedford—Preston 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 40% LPC 31% NDP 24% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 25% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 25% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 38% LPC 33% NDP 24% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 37% LPC 36% NDP 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 41% CPC 35% NDP 19% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 18% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 47% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 47% CPC 29% NDP 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 51% CPC 27% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 57% CPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 57% CPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 60% CPC 25% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 60% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 60% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 59% CPC 30% NDP 10% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 59% CPC 30% NDP 9% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 62% CPC 33% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 62% CPC 33% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Sackville—Bedford—Preston

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 84% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 94% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Sackville—Bedford—Preston



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 62% ± 5% 44.3% 44.7% 61.9% CPC 33% ± 5% 22.0% 25.0% 32.6% NDP 4% ± 2% 21.5% 24.8% 3.9% GPC 1% ± 1% 11.2% 2.0% 0.9% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 3.5% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.