logo
logo
Canada

Sackville—Bedford—Preston



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC
Sackville—Bedford—Preston 36% ± 7%▲ LPC 35% ± 7%▼ CPC 23% ± 6% NDP 3% ± 2% GPC LPC 2021 44.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sackville—Bedford—Preston 52%▲ LPC 48%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sackville—Bedford—Preston

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 23% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Sackville—Bedford—Preston 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 39% LPC 34% NDP 23% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 40% LPC 34% NDP 23% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 39% LPC 34% NDP 23% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 24% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 38% LPC 35% NDP 24% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 37% LPC 35% NDP 24% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 35% CPC 35% NDP 26% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 35% LPC 35% NDP 26% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 36% CPC 33% NDP 26% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 37% CPC 32% NDP 25% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 38% CPC 31% NDP 25% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 38% CPC 31% NDP 25% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 25% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 25% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 25% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 35% CPC 35% NDP 24% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 37% LPC 35% NDP 23% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 37% LPC 35% NDP 23% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 22% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 22% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 22% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 23% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 23% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 37% LPC 34% NDP 23% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 37% LPC 34% NDP 24% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 37% LPC 34% NDP 24% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 23% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 23% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Sackville—Bedford—Preston

LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 52% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 63% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Sackville—Bedford—Preston



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.3% 44.7% 36% ± 7% CPC 22.0% 25.0% 35% ± 7% NDP 21.5% 24.8% 23% ± 6% PPC 1.0% 3.5% 2% ± 2% GPC 11.2% 2.0% 3% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.