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Canada


Kildonan–St. Paul (federal)


MP: Raquel Dancho (CPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

CPC likely hold
Kildonan–St. Paul 43% ± 8% CPC 27% ± 7% NDP 27% ± 7% LPC 2% ± 2% PPC CPC 2021 41.81% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Kildonan–St. Paul 99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Kildonan–St. Paul

LPC 27% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 8% NDP 27% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Kildonan–St. Paul 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Kildonan–St. Paul

LPC <1% CPC 99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Kildonan–St. Paul



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 39.8% 44.8% 41.81% 43% ± 8% LPC 42.7% 27.9% 29.45% 27% ± 7% NDP 14.3% 21.2% 23.45% 27% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 1.2% 5.29% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 1.8% 4.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%