338Canada | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot (Québec federal district)




24066 - Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 102,690 residents
Population density: 54.5 pop./km² (rank: 216 of 338)
Median household income: $55 197 (rank: 293 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay (BQ)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
39.3% ± 8.7% 41.4% Within confidence interval
27.4% ± 7.4% 21.3% Within confidence interval
12.7% ± 4.8% 18.4% Outside confidence interval
14.2% ± 4.9% 14.4% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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