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Canada

Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton


MP elect: Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay (BQ)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
BQ likely

Candidates | Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton


Liberal Melanie Bedard
Conservative Gaetan Deschenes
NDP Raymonde Plamondon
Green Martin Grenier
Bloc Quebecois Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay*
PPC Sylvain Pariseau

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton 44% ± 6% BQ 34% ± 6%▲ LPC 18% ± 4% CPC BQ 2025 43.9% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton 99% BQ 1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton

LPC 34% ± 6% CPC 18% ± 4% BQ 44% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 52% CPC 18% LPC 14% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 51% CPC 19% LPC 15% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 51% CPC 19% LPC 15% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 51% CPC 18% LPC 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 48% LPC 18% CPC 18% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 48% LPC 20% CPC 18% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 46% LPC 22% CPC 18% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 44% LPC 24% CPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 43% LPC 25% CPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 43% LPC 27% CPC 18% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 41% LPC 29% CPC 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 41% LPC 29% CPC 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 41% LPC 29% CPC 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 41% LPC 29% CPC 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 42% LPC 29% CPC 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 42% LPC 29% CPC 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 41% LPC 32% CPC 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 40% LPC 32% CPC 17% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 40% LPC 33% CPC 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 39% LPC 33% CPC 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 38% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 38% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 38% LPC 34% CPC 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 37% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 37% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 38% LPC 37% CPC 16% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 38% LPC 36% CPC 16% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 38% LPC 37% CPC 16% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 38% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 38% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 38% LPC 36% CPC 17% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 38% LPC 36% CPC 17% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 38% LPC 36% CPC 17% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 38% LPC 36% CPC 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 39% LPC 36% CPC 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 39% LPC 35% CPC 17% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 39% LPC 35% CPC 17% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 39% LPC 35% CPC 17% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 40% LPC 34% CPC 17% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 41% LPC 34% CPC 17% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 40% LPC 33% CPC 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 40% LPC 33% CPC 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 40% LPC 32% CPC 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 40% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 41% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 40% LPC 33% CPC 19% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 44% LPC 33% CPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 44% LPC 33% CPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 44% LPC 33% CPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 44% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton

LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton



2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 44% ± 6% 41.4% 47.5% 43.9% LPC 34% ± 6% 21.3% 22.7% 33.6% CPC 18% ± 4% 14.4% 13.5% 18.0% NDP 2% ± 2% 18.4% 11.6% 2.4% GPC 1% ± 1% 3.6% 0.0% 1.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.