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Canada

St. John’s East


MP elect: Joanne Thompson (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | St. John’s East


Liberal Joanne Thompson*
Conservative David Brazil
NDP Mary Shortall
Green Otis Crandell
Communist Sam Crete

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



St. John’s East 62% ± 0%▲ LPC 26% ± 0%▲ CPC 11% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 62.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% St. John’s East >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | St. John’s East

LPC 62% ± 0% CPC 26% ± 0% NDP 11% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | St. John’s East 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 49% NDP 27% CPC 22% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 53% NDP 24% CPC 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 58% CPC 20% NDP 19% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 58% CPC 20% NDP 20% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 58% NDP 20% CPC 19% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 58% NDP 20% CPC 19% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 58% NDP 20% CPC 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 58% NDP 21% CPC 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 62% CPC 19% NDP 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 16% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 20% NDP 16% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 21% NDP 16% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% CPC 21% NDP 16% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 61% CPC 20% NDP 16% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 61% CPC 20% NDP 16% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 16% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 58% CPC 21% NDP 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 58% CPC 22% NDP 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 22% NDP 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 57% CPC 22% NDP 17% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 58% CPC 22% NDP 17% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 58% CPC 22% NDP 17% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 59% CPC 22% NDP 16% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 62% CPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | St. John’s East

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | St. John’s East



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 62% ± 0% 33.7% 45.1% 62.2% CPC 26% ± 0% 17.8% 18.1% 26.0% NDP 11% ± 0% 46.6% 34.8% 11.2% GPC 0% ± 0% 1.9% 0.0% 0.4% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.