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Canada

Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman


Liberal Rhonda Nichol
Conservative James Bezan*
NDP Josef Estabrooks
Green Wayne James
PPC Byron Gryba
United Chris Riddell

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman 55% ± 8% CPC 29% ± 7% LPC 9% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2021 57.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman

LPC 29% ± 7% CPC 55% ± 8% NDP 9% ± 5% GPC 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 58% LPC 18% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 55% LPC 21% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 56% LPC 26% NDP 10% GPC 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 55% LPC 26% NDP 10% GPC 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 55% LPC 26% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 10% GPC 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 55% LPC 28% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 55% LPC 28% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 55% LPC 28% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 55% LPC 28% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 57% LPC 29% NDP 10% GPC 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 56% LPC 29% NDP 10% GPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 57% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 56% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 56% LPC 30% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 56% LPC 30% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 57% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 56% LPC 30% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 54% LPC 30% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 62.6% 57.0% 55% ± 8% LPC 12.1% 13.2% 29% ± 7% NDP 18.0% 19.4% 9% ± 5% GPC 5.9% 2.7% 3% ± 3% PPC 1.4% 7.7% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.