338Canada | Saint Boniface–Saint Vital (Manitoba federal district)




46009 - Saint Boniface–Saint Vital

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 89,815 residents
Population density: 1416 pop./km² (rank: 117 of 338)
Median household income: $70 857 (rank: 159 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Dan Vandal (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Saint Boniface–Saint Vital


Dan Vandal
Shola Agboola
Meghan Waters
Laurent Poliquin
Jane McDiarmid
Sébastion CoRhino (Rhino)
Matthew Correira (VCP)
Scott Anderson
Denis Berthiaume
Jean-Denis Boudreault
Naomi Crisostomo
Charles Currie
Manon Desbiens
Alexandra Engering
Scott Falkingham
Kerri Hilebrandt
Conrad Lukawski
Eliana Rosenblum
Patrick Strzalkowski
Tomas Szuchewycz





Federal vote projection | Saint Boniface–Saint Vital

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Saint Boniface–Saint Vital

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Saint Boniface–Saint Vital



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Saint Boniface–Saint Vital



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Saint Boniface–Saint Vital


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
37.1% ± 8.6% 42.9% Within confidence interval
36.4% ± 8.5% 32.6% Within confidence interval
18.2% ± 6.3% 17.0% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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