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Canada


Nanaimo–Ladysmith (federal)


MP: Lisa Marie Barron (NDP)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

Toss up CPC/GPC
Nanaimo–Ladysmith 31% ± 7% CPC 28% ± 7% GPC 25% ± 6% NDP 13% ± 4% LPC 2% ± 2% PPC NDP 2021 28.89% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Nanaimo–Ladysmith 69% CPC 25% GPC 6% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Nanaimo–Ladysmith

LPC 13% ± 4% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 25% ± 6% GPC 28% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Nanaimo–Ladysmith 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Nanaimo–Ladysmith

LPC <1% CPC 69% NDP 6% GPC 25% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Nanaimo–Ladysmith



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 33.2% 23.6% 28.89% 25% ± 6% CPC 23.4% 25.9% 27.03% 31% ± 7% GPC 19.8% 34.6% 25.61% 28% ± 7% LPC 23.5% 13.5% 13.56% 13% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.5% 4.91% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%