338Canada | Nanaimo–Ladysmith (British Columbia federal district)




59018 - Nanaimo–Ladysmith

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 122,710 residents
Population density: 71 pop./km² (rank: 208 of 338)
Median household income: $62 804 (rank: 227 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Paul Manly (GPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Nanaimo–Ladysmith


Michelle Corfield
Tamara Kronis
Lisa Marie Barron
Paul Manly
Stephen Welton





Federal vote projection | Nanaimo–Ladysmith

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Nanaimo–Ladysmith

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Nanaimo–Ladysmith



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Nanaimo–Ladysmith



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Nanaimo–Ladysmith


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
30.4% ± 7.7% 34.6% Within confidence interval
21.3% ± 6.1% 25.9% Within confidence interval
29.3% ± 7.8% 23.6% Within confidence interval
16.7% ± 5.2% 13.5% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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