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Nanaimo–Ladysmith (federal)
MP: Lisa Marie Barron (NDP)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
Toss up CPC/GPC
Nanaimo–Ladysmith
31% ± 7%
CPC
28% ± 7%
GPC
25% ± 6%
NDP
13% ± 4%
LPC
2% ± 2%
PPC
NDP 2021
28.89%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Nanaimo–Ladysmith
69%
CPC
25%
GPC
6%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Nanaimo–Ladysmith
LPC 13% ± 4%
CPC 31% ± 7%
NDP 25% ± 6%
GPC 28% ± 7%
Popular vote projection % | Nanaimo–Ladysmith
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Nanaimo–Ladysmith
LPC <1%
CPC 69%
NDP 6%
GPC 25%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Nanaimo–Ladysmith
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
NDP
33.2%
23.6%
28.89%
25% ± 6%
CPC
23.4%
25.9%
27.03%
31% ± 7%
GPC
19.8%
34.6%
25.61%
28% ± 7%
LPC
23.5%
13.5%
13.56%
13% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
1.5%
4.91%
2% ± 2%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%