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Canada

Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
CPC safe
Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford 63% ± 8%▲ CPC 15% ± 5%▼ NDP 15% ± 5%▲ LPC 4% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 3% PPC CPC 2021 47.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 47.8% 47.1% 63% ± 8% NDP 16.2% 18.0% 15% ± 5% LPC 24.9% 24.2% 15% ± 5% GPC 8.7% 3.7% 4% ± 4% PPC 2.1% 7.0% 3% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.