338Canada | Nanaimo–Ladysmith (British Columbia federal district)





59018 - Nanaimo–Ladysmith

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 122,710 residents
Population density: 71 pop./km² (rank: 208 of 338)
Median household income: $62 804 (rank: 227 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Lisa Marie Barron (NDP)



Latest projection (January 23, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Nanaimo–Ladysmith

Last update: January 23, 2022






Odds of winning | Nanaimo–Ladysmith

Last update: January 23, 2022









Electoral history of Nanaimo–Ladysmith



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Nanaimo–Ladysmith



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Nanaimo–Ladysmith


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
27.6% ± 5.7% 28.9% Within confidence interval
27.5% ± 5.7% 27.0% Within confidence interval
29.1% ± 6.1% 25.6% Within confidence interval
10.0% ± 3.7% 13.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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