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Canada


Mississauga Centre (federal)


MP: Omar Alghabra (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

LPC leaning hold
Mississauga Centre 41% ± 7% 37% ± 7% 13% ± 4% 6% ± 4% 3% ± 3% LPC 2021 54.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Mississauga Centre 76%▼ 24%▲ <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mississauga Centre

LPC 41% ± 7% CPC 37% ± 7% NDP 13% ± 4% GPC 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga Centre 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Mississauga Centre

LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Mississauga Centre



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 54.7% 55.8% 54.2% 41% ± 7% CPC 33.6% 29.5% 28.22% 37% ± 7% NDP 9.5% 9.6% 11.23% 13% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.6% 4.53% 3% ± 3% GPC 2.2% 3.1% 1.82% 6% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0% ± 0%