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Canada

Oxford



Latest projection: April 18, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Oxford


Liberal David Hilderley
Conservative Arpan Khanna*
NDP Matthew Chambers
Green Cheryle Baker
PPC Steven Beausoleil
Christian Heritage Jacob Watson
United Melanie Van Brugge
Independent Akshay Varun Raj Vardhan

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Oxford 54% ± 8% CPC 30% ± 7% LPC 8% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 4% PPC 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2021 46.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 18, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Oxford >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 18, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Oxford

LPC 30% ± 7% CPC 54% ± 8% NDP 8% ± 4% PPC 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Oxford 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP PPC April 18, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 55% LPC 20% NDP 14% PPC 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% LPC 21% NDP 13% PPC 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 53% LPC 24% NDP 12% PPC 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 53% LPC 24% NDP 12% PPC 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 53% LPC 24% NDP 12% PPC 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 53% LPC 24% NDP 12% PPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 53% LPC 24% NDP 12% PPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 53% LPC 24% NDP 12% PPC 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 52% LPC 27% NDP 10% PPC 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 53% LPC 27% NDP 10% PPC 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 10% PPC 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 10% PPC 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 53% LPC 29% NDP 9% PPC 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 53% LPC 29% NDP 9% PPC 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 54% LPC 28% NDP 9% PPC 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 8% PPC 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 55% LPC 30% NDP 8% PPC 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 54% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 54% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 54% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 54% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 55% LPC 30% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 55% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 54% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 53% LPC 30% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 53% LPC 31% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 54% LPC 30% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 54% LPC 30% NDP 8% PPC 3% 2025-04-18 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Oxford

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 18, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Oxford



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 47.9% 46.8% 54% ± 8% LPC 19.3% 20.7% 30% ± 7% NDP 20.4% 18.4% 8% ± 4% PPC 2.9% 10.6% 3% ± 4% GPC 7.8% 2.7% 3% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.