338Canada | Ratings of Canadian pollsters


338Canada Ratings of Canadian Pollsters


The tables below contain information regarding the 338Canada ratings of Canadian pollsters, which are used to weight the polls used by the 338Canada model. I do not publish these results and calculations lightly, because I know ratings such as these will ruffles some feathers in polling circles and that is certainly not my goal. However, for the sake of transparency, and to offer readers an easier understanding of how pollsters have fared in this country in recent years, I feel these figures - which I have been using for years - should be made available to the reading public. The details of the 338 Score and ratings are explained in this blog post.

338Canada Ratings of Canadian Pollsters


The tables below contain information regarding the 338Canada ratings of Canadian pollsters, which are used to weight the polls used by the 338Canada model. I do not publish these results and calculations lightly, because I know ratings such as these will ruffles some feathers in polling circles and that is certainly not my goal. However, for the sake of transparency, and to offer readers an easier understanding of how pollsters have fared in this country in recent years, I feel these figures - which I have been using for years - should be made available to the reading public. The details of the 338 Score and ratings are explained in this blog post.




338Canada Pollster Ratings


Last update: Sepetmber 27, 2021

Polling firm 338Canada Rating CAN 2021 NS 2021 SK 2020 BC 2020 NB 2020 CAN 2019 MB 2019 NL 2019 PEI 2019 AB 2019 QC 2018 NB 2018 ON 2018 NS 2017 BC 2017 MB 2016 SK 2016
Léger Your browser does not support the canvas element. A+ A+ A A+ B+ B− B+ A
Nanos Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. A A C A
Ipsos Your browser does not support the canvas element. A A A+ B− B A+ A+
Mainstreet Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. A A B− A B A+ A A B C+ B B+ A+ A A A A+
Research Co. Your browser does not support the canvas element. A+ B− A+ A A B− B+ A
Abacus Data Your browser does not support the canvas element. A+ A+ B− C+
Insights West Your browser does not support the canvas element. A+ A+ A A+
Angus Reid Your browser does not support the canvas element. A A A+ B+ B IN B− A+
Campaign Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. A A
Earnscliffe Strategy Group Your browser does not support the canvas element. A+
EKOS Your browser does not support the canvas element. B− B B A+
Insightrix Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. B− B A+
Janet Brown OR Your browser does not support the canvas element. A
Counsel Public Affairs Your browser does not support the canvas element. B+
YouGov Your browser does not support the canvas element. B+
Innovative Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. B A C+ B− B+
Justason MI Your browser does not support the canvas element. B
Forum Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. B B+ IN IN IN B+ B+ B− B+ B+ B B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+
Narrative Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. B B C+ B+
Pollara Your browser does not support the canvas element. C B
MQO Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. C+ C+ C
Probe Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. B− B
H+K Strategies Your browser does not support the canvas element. B−
Oraclepoll Research Your browser does not support the canvas element. B
ThinkHQ Your browser does not support the canvas element. C
CROP Your browser does not support the canvas element. D
Environics Research Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Corbett Communications Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Delphi Polling Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Stratcom Your browser does not support the canvas element.



[IN = Detailed results of the final poll were not published in time or were incomplete.]



2021 Canadian federal general election - Sept. 20, 2021


Polling firm LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 32.6 33.7 17.8 2.3 7.7 5.0 CPC +1.1
Léger 32 33 19 2 7 6 CPC +1 4 A+
Research Co. 32 32 19 4 7 6 Égalité/Tie 5.8 A+
Earnscliffe Strategy Group 32 32 20 4 7 5 Égalité/Tie 6 A+
Abacus Data 31 32 19 4 7 6 CPC +1 6.7 A+
Angus Reid 30 32 20 3 7 5 CPC +2 7.5 A
Nanos Research 32 31 17 5 7 7 LPC +1 7.7 A
Ipsos 31 32 21 3 7 4 CPC +1 8.2 A
Campaign Research 31 31 21 4 7 5 Égalité/Tie 9 A
Mainstreet Research 33 30 18 2 6 9 LPC +3 9.2 A
YouGov 29 32 19 5 6 5 CPC +3 9.3 B+
Counsel Public Affairs 31 30 19 4 7 7 LPC +1 9.6 B+
Forum Research 29 33 16 3 7 10 CPC +4 11.2 B
Innovative Research 33 28 22 4 7 4 LPC +5 12.8 B
EKOS 32 27 19 4 7 10 LPC +5 14.2 B−


2021 Nova Scotia general election - Aug. 17, 2021


Polling firm LIB PC NDP GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 36.7 38.6 21.1 2.2 PC +1.9
Mainstreet Research 38 36 21 3 Lib +2 5 A
Forum Research 39 36 21 3 Lib +3 6.1 B+



2020 Saskatchewan general election - Oct. 26, 2020


Polling firm SKP NDP GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 61.6 30.8 2.3 SP +30.8
Angus Reid 60 33 2 SP +27 4 A
Insightrix Research 54 35 3 SP +19 12.5 B−
Research Co. 56 38 2 SP +18 13.5 B−
Mainstreet Research 55 37 2 SP +18 13.5 B−



2020 British Columbia general election - Oct. 24, 2020


Polling firm LIB NDP GRN OTH Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 33.8 47.7 15.1 3.4 NDP +13.9
Léger 36 47 14 3 NDP +11 4.3 A+
Insights West 33 47 14 7 NDP +14 4.4 A+
Angus Reid 35 45 16 4 NDP +10 5.3 A+
Research Co. 35 50 13 3 NDP +15 5.9 A+
Ipsos 34 51 12 2 NDP +17 7.5 A
Mainstreet Research 31 51 16 3 NDP +20 7.6 A



2020 New Brunswick general election - Sept. 14, 2020


Polling firm Lib PC NDP GRN PA Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 34.3 39.3 1.7 15.2 9.2 PC +5
Léger 32 40 6 13 7 PC +8 6.9 A
Oraclepoll Research 33 42 6 18 2 PC +9 11.9 B
Narrative Research 33 44 7 14 2 PC +11 12.8 B
EKOS 32 32 4 18 10 Égalité/Tie 12.9 B
Mainstreet Research 30 37 4 21 7 PC +7 13.1 B
MQO Research 27 43 6 17 5 PC +16 16.4 C



2019 Canadian federal general election - Oct. 21, 2019


Polling firm LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 33.1 34.3 16 6.5 7.6 Con +1.2
Léger 33 33 18 6 8 Égalité/Tie 4 A+
Abacus Data 34 32 16 8 8 Lib +2 4.4 A+
Mainstreet Research 32 32 18 6 8 Égalité/Tie 6 A+
Ipsos 31 33 18 6 7 Con +2 6.2 A+
Innovative Research 33 31 14 8 9 Lib +2 7.4 A
Nanos Research 32 33 21 6 7 Con +1 8.1 A
Research Co. 32 31 19 8 7 Lib +1 8.7 A
Campaign Research 31 31 18 9 7 Égalité/Tie 9.2 A
Forum Research 32 30 18 8 9 Lib +2 9.4 B+
Angus Reid 29 33 19 8 8 Con +4 9.6 B+
EKOS 34 30 18 8 5 Lib +4 10.3 B
DART/Maru 29 33 21 7 8 Con +4 11.1 B


2019 Manitoba general election - Sept. 10, 2019


Polling firm PC NDP LIB GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 47.1 31.4 14.5 6.4 PC +15.7
Research Co. 44 31 16 7 PC +13 5.2 A
Mainstreet Research 43 34 15 6 PC +9 7.7 A
Forum Research 43 29 17 10 PC +14 10.7 B+
Probe Research 40 29 18 10 PC +11 14.7 B−


2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election - May 16, 2019


Polling firm LIB PC NDP Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 43.9 42.6 6.3 LIB +1.3
Mainstreet Research 41 45 8 PC +4 6.4 A
Forum Research 38 47 7 PC +9 11.2 B−
Abacus Data 37 42 15 PC +5 12.2 B−
MQO Research 48 36 11 Lib +12 13.6 C+


2019 Prince Edward Island general election - April 23, 2019


Polling firm Lib PC NDP GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 29.4 36.7 3.0 30.6 PC +6.1
Forum Research 26 35 5 34 PC +1 9.6 B+
Narrative Research 29 32 3 35 GRN +3 9.7 B
Mainstreet Research 29 31 4 35 GRN +4 11.3 B
MQO Research 26 29 3 40 GRN +11 20.7 C



2019 Alberta general election - April 16, 2019


Polling firm UCP NDP ALP AP Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 54.9 32.7 1.0 9.1 UCP +22.2
Janet Brown OR 53 34 4 8 UCP +19 5.4 A
Forum Research 51 35 2 11 UCP +16 8.4 B+
Léger 50 36 3 8 UCP +14 10.3 B+
Angus Reid 52 39 1 6 UCP +13 12.1 B
Research Co. 49 39 2 9 UCP +10 13.3 B−
Ipsos 50 40 1 7 UCP +10 14.5 B−
Mainstreet Research 48 40 2 8 UCP +8 16.2 C+
Innovative Research 44 31 7 11 UCP +13 17 C+
Nanos Research 44 36 3 12 UCP +8 18 C
ThinkHQ 46 40 2 8 UCP +6 18.3 C
Pollara 45 39 3 8 UCP +6 18.7 C


2018 Quebec general election - Oct. 1, 2018


Polling firm LPQ PQ CAQ QS Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 24.8 17.1 37.4 16.1 CAQ +12.6
Research Co. 30 18 33 16 CAQ +3 10.8 B+
Forum Research 28 20 33 17 CAQ +5 11.4 B
Mainstreet Research 29 20 32 16 CAQ +3 12.7 B
Ipsos 31 18 32 16 CAQ +1 12.9 B
Léger 30 19 32 17 CAQ +2 13.6 B−
CROP 37 16 30 14 Lib +7 23.5 D


2018 New Brunswick general election - Sept. 24, 2018


Polling firm Lib PC NDP GRN PA Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 37.8 31.9 5.0 11.9 12.6 LIB +5.9
Nanos Research 37 30 10 11 12 Lib +7 6.5 A
Forum Research 36 29 4 14 16 Lib +7 9.7 B+
Léger 41 32 8 8 10 Lib +9 10.2 B+
Mainstreet Research 35 29 3 16 15 Lib +6 11.9 B+
Narrative Research 45 33 6 10 5 Lib +12 16.7 C+



2018 Ontario general election - June 7, 2018


Polling firm LPO PCPO NDP GPO Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 19.6 40.5 33.6 4.6 PC +6.9
Mainstreet Research 20 39 34 5 PC +5 2.7 A+
Forum Research 21 39 34 5 PC +5 3.7 A+
EKOS 19 39 35 5 PC +4 3.8 A+
Ipsos 19 39 36 6 PC +3 5.5 A+
Research Co. 20 39 37 4 PC +2 5.8 A
Léger 18 39 38 5 PC +1 7.8 A
Pollara 17 38 38 6 Égalité/Tie 10.5 B
H+K Strategies 19 37 39 6 NDP +2 10.6 B−
Innovative Research 21 34 36 6 NDP +2 11.7 B−
Angus Reid 17 37 39 5 NDP +2 11.8 B−
Abacus Data 23 33 37 5 NDP +4 15.1 C+


2017 Nova Scotia general election - May 30, 2017


Polling firm LIB PC NDP GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 39.5 35.7 21.5 2.8 LIB +3.8
Forum Research 38 35 23 4 Lib +3 4.7 A+
Mainstreet Research 41 33 22 4 Lib +8 5.9 A
Narrative Research 41 31 24 4 Lib +10 10 B+


2017 British Columbia general election - May 9, 2017


Polling firm Lib NDP GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 40.4 40.3 16.8 LIB +0.1
Insights West 41 41 17 Égalité/Tie 1.5 A+
Ipsos 39 40 17 NDP +1 1.9 A+
Forum Research 39 41 17 NDP +2 2.4 A+
Angus Reid 40 41 15 NDP +1 2.6 A+
Mainstreet Research 39 40 20 NDP +1 4.3 A
Innovative Research 38 35 17 Lib +3 8 B+
Justason MI 38 36 23 Lib +2 11.8 B


2016 Manitoba general election - April 19, 2016


Polling firm PC NDP LIB GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 53.1 25.8 14.4 5.1 PC +27.3
Insights West 53 28 10 7 PC +25 7.3 A
Mainstreet Research 55 26 11 9 PC +29 7.6 A
Forum Research 52 21 18 9 PC +31 11.7 B+
Insightrix Research 49 22 19 9 PC +27 14.3 B
Probe Research 46 28 20 6 PC +18 14.9 B


2016 Saskatchewan general election - April 4, 2016


Polling firm SKP NDP LIB GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 62.4 30.2 3.6 1.8 SP +32.2
Insights West 61 29 4 4 SP +32 4.7 A+
Forum Research 61 30 6 3 SP +31 4.8 A+
Insightrix Research 60 30 5 3 SP +30 4.9 A+
Mainstreet Research 60 31 4 5 SP +29 6.3 A+



2015 Newfoundland and Labrador general election - Nov. 30, 2015


Polling firm LIB PC NDP Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 57.2 30.1 12.1 LIB +27.1
Forum Research 54 31 15 Lib +23 6.6 B+
Abacus Data 64 22 13 Lib +42 16.4 C+
Narrative Research 67 22 10 Lib +45 20.5 C
MQO Research 74 17 9 Lib +57 33.9 D


2015 Canadian federal general election - Oct. 19, 2015


Polling firm LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 39.5 31.9 19.7 3.4 4.7 LIB +7.6
Nanos Research 39 31 20 5 6 Lib +8 3.1 A+
Forum Research 40 30 20 3 6 Lib +10 3.8 A+
Mainstreet Research 38 33 21 5 4 Lib +5 4.9 A+
EKOS 36 32 20 6 5 Lib +4 5 A+
Ipsos 38 31 22 4 4 Lib +7 5.2 A+
Léger 38 30 22 4 6 Lib +8 6.6 A+
Innovative Research 38 30 22 6 3 Lib +8 7.5 A
Angus Reid 35 31 22 5 5 Lib +4 8.3 B+


2015 Alberta general election - May 5, 2015


Polling firm NDP PC WRP ALP AP Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 40.6 27.8 24.2 4.2 2.2 NDP +12.8
Léger 38 30 24 6 1 NDP +8 6.5 A
Insights West 42 23 27 4 3 NDP +15 9.7 B+
EKOS 44 23 24 6 2 NDP +20 9.8 B+
Forum Research 45 23 23 4 3 NDP +22 11.2 B
Ipsos 37 24 26 9 3 NDP +11 11.9 B
Mainstreet Research 44 21 26 5 3 NDP +18 13.2 B
ThinkHQ 39 20 27 9 4 NDP +12 15.5 B−


2014 New Brunswick general election - Sept. 22, 2014


Polling firm Lib PC NDP GRN Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 42.7 34.7 13.0 4.5 LIB +8
Narrative Research 45 36 11 6 Lib +9 5.4 A
Forum Research 40 40 12 6 Égalité/Tie 9.7 B


2014 Ontario general election - June 12, 2014


Polling firm LPO PCPO NDP GPO Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 38.7 31.3 23.8 4.8 LIB +7.4
Nanos Research 38 31 24 5 LIB +7 1.3 A+
Angus Reid 36 32 26 5 LIB +4 5.9 A
Abacus Data 35 32 26 6 LIB +3 7.4 B+
EKOS 37 31 19 8 LIB +6 8.5 A
Forum Research 41 35 20 3 LIB +6 10.8 B
Léger 37 37 20 5 Égalité/Tie 11.7 B
Ipsos 33 31 30 5 LIB +2 12.6 B


2014 Quebec general election - April 7, 2014


Polling firm LPQ PQ CAQ QS Leader 338 Score* 338 Grade
Election results 41.5 25.4 23.1 7.6 LIB +16.1
Forum Research 44 24 23 6 Lib +20 5.5 B+
EKOS 40 27 21 9 Lib +13 6.5 B+
Angus Reid 39 27 25 7 Lib +12 6.7 B+
Léger 38 29 23 9 Lib +9 8.7 B
Ipsos 40 28 18 12 Lib +12 12.9 C+






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