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Canada

Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne


Liberal Sherry Romando*
Conservative Terry Roberts
NDP Marie-Andree Gravel
Bloc Quebecois Beritan Oerde
PPC Tiny Olinga
Rhinoceros Donald Gagnon

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne 57% ± 8% LPC 21% ± 6% BQ 12% ± 5% CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 40.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne

LPC 57% ± 8% CPC 12% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 4% BQ 21% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 41% BQ 30% CPC 13% NDP 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 43% BQ 29% CPC 13% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 45% BQ 28% CPC 12% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 46% BQ 28% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 46% BQ 28% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 46% BQ 28% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 45% BQ 28% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 46% BQ 28% CPC 12% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 48% BQ 27% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 49% BQ 27% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 49% BQ 26% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 50% BQ 26% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 51% BQ 25% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% BQ 25% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 52% BQ 25% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 54% BQ 23% CPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 55% BQ 22% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 56% BQ 22% CPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 56% BQ 21% CPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 11% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 58% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% BQ 21% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 39.0% 40.4% 57% ± 8% BQ 36.5% 35.3% 21% ± 6% CPC 7.4% 8.3% 12% ± 5% NDP 10.3% 10.3% 6% ± 4% PPC 1.1% 2.9% 2% ± 2% GPC 5.8% 2.4% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.