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Canada

Lakeland



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Lakeland


Liberal Barry Milaney
Conservative Shannon Stubbs*
NDP Des Bissonnette
Green Bridget Burns
PPC Michael Manchen
Christian Heritage Michael Spiers

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Lakeland 76% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% LPC 4% ± 3% NDP 3% ± 4% PPC CPC 2021 69.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lakeland >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lakeland

LPC 14% ± 5% CPC 76% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Lakeland 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 69% NDP 10% LPC 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 67% LPC 9% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 69% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 68% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 68% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 68% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 68% LPC 14% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 68% LPC 14% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 68% LPC 15% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 68% LPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 68% LPC 15% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 69% LPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 70% LPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 70% LPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 71% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 71% LPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 72% LPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 72% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 72% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 72% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 72% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 76% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 76% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 77% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 76% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 76% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 76% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 76% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 76% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 76% LPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 76% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 76% LPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Lakeland

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Lakeland



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 83.9% 69.4% 76% ± 7% LPC 4.5% 5.0% 14% ± 5% NDP 6.5% 10.5% 4% ± 3% PPC 2.5% 11.1% 3% ± 4% GPC 1.9% 0.9% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.