338Canada | Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner (Alberta federal district)




48027 - Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner

Province: Alberta
Population (2016): 106,895 residents
Population density: 3.62 pop./km² (rank: 298 of 338)
Median household income: $73 321 (rank: 138 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Glen Motz (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner


Hannah Wilson
Glen Motz
Jocelyn Stenger
Diandra Bruised Head
Brodie Heidinger
Geoff Shoesmith





Federal vote projection | Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
65.9% ± 8.2% 79.2% Outside confidence interval
11.8% ± 4.8% 8.7% Within confidence interval
15.7% ± 5.6% 6.6% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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