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Niagara Centre (federal)
MP: Vance Badawey (LPC)
Latest projection: January 29, 2023
CPC leaning gain
Niagara Centre
35% ± 7%
CPC
30% ± 7%
LPC
27% ± 6%
NDP
4% ± 3%
GPC
4% ± 3%
PPC
LPC 2021
34.98%
338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50%
100%
Niagara Centre
79%
CPC
17%
LPC
4%
NDP
Odds of winning | January 29, 2023
Popular vote projection | Niagara Centre
LPC 30% ± 7%
CPC 35% ± 7%
NDP 27% ± 6%
GPC 4% ± 3%
PPC 4% ± 3%
Popular vote projection % | Niagara Centre
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
PPC
Odds of winning | Niagara Centre
LPC 17%
CPC 79%
NDP 4%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Niagara Centre
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
35.7%
35.0%
34.98%
30% ± 7%
CPC
29.7%
31.0%
31.16%
35% ± 7%
NDP
31.5%
26.7%
23.97%
27% ± 6%
PPC
0.0%
1.3%
7.94%
4% ± 3%
GPC
2.4%
5.3%
1.94%
4% ± 3%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%