338Canada | Niagara Centre (Ontario federal district)





35066 - Niagara Centre

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 109,070 residents
Population density: 362 pop./km² (rank: 167 of 338)
Median household income: $59 885 (rank: 257 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Vance Badawey (LPC)



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Niagara Centre

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | Niagara Centre

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of Niagara Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Niagara Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Niagara Centre


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
35.3% ± 6.5% 35.0% Within confidence interval
29.3% ± 6.1% 31.2% Within confidence interval
24.7% ± 5.6% 24.0% Within confidence interval
7.7% ± 3.7% 7.9% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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