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Canada

Saint-Maurice—Champlain


MP elect: Francois-Philippe Champagne (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Saint-Maurice—Champlain


Liberal Francois-Philippe Champagne*
Conservative Pierre-Augustin Allard
NDP Nathalie Garceau
Green Marie-Claude Gaudet
Bloc Quebecois Thierry Bilodeau
PPC David Rioux
Rhinoceros Dji-Pe Frazer

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Saint-Maurice—Champlain 50% ± 6% LPC 25% ± 5%▲ CPC 21% ± 5% BQ LPC 2025 50.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Maurice—Champlain >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Maurice—Champlain

LPC 50% ± 6% CPC 25% ± 5% BQ 21% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Maurice—Champlain 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 36% LPC 28% CPC 25% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 35% LPC 28% CPC 26% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 34% LPC 29% CPC 25% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 34% LPC 30% CPC 24% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 23% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 37% BQ 31% CPC 23% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 39% BQ 29% CPC 23% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 42% BQ 27% CPC 22% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 42% BQ 26% CPC 22% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 44% BQ 26% CPC 22% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 46% BQ 25% CPC 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 46% BQ 24% CPC 21% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 46% BQ 24% CPC 21% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 46% BQ 25% CPC 21% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 46% BQ 25% CPC 21% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 46% BQ 25% CPC 20% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 49% BQ 24% CPC 20% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 49% BQ 24% CPC 19% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 50% BQ 23% CPC 20% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 50% BQ 23% CPC 20% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 20% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 20% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 52% BQ 21% CPC 20% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% CPC 21% BQ 20% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 54% CPC 21% BQ 19% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 19% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 19% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 21% BQ 18% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 21% BQ 18% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 19% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% CPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 55% CPC 19% BQ 18% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 17% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 17% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 17% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 17% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 55% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 53% CPC 21% BQ 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 53% CPC 21% BQ 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 22% BQ 18% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 22% BQ 18% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 54% CPC 21% BQ 18% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 50% CPC 24% BQ 21% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 50% CPC 24% BQ 21% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 50% CPC 24% BQ 21% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 50% CPC 25% BQ 21% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Maurice—Champlain

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 6% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 8% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 17% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 24% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 69% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 87% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 96% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Saint-Maurice—Champlain



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 50% ± 6% 39.6% 42.4% 50.0% CPC 25% ± 5% 16.3% 18.0% 24.6% BQ 21% ± 5% 34.2% 30.1% 21.2% NDP 2% ± 1% 5.3% 5.1% 2.0% GPC 1% ± 1% 3.1% 1.3% 1.1% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.7% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.