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Canada


Saint-Maurice–Champlain (federal)


MP: François-Philippe Champagne (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

LPC leaning hold
Saint-Maurice–Champlain 34% ± 6% 31% ± 6% 26% ± 6%▲ 6% ± 3% 3% ± 3%▼ LPC 2021 42.35% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Saint-Maurice–Champlain 70%▼ 28%▲ 2%▲ Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Maurice–Champlain

LPC 34% ± 6% CPC 26% ± 6% NDP 6% ± 3% BQ 31% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Maurice–Champlain 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Saint-Maurice–Champlain

LPC 70% CPC 2% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 28% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Saint-Maurice–Champlain



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 41.5% 39.6% 42.35% 34% ± 6% BQ 19.2% 34.2% 30.01% 31% ± 6% CPC 16.3% 16.3% 17.96% 26% ± 6% NDP 20.8% 5.3% 5.03% 6% ± 3% GPC 1.9% 3.1% 1.29% 3% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.43% 0% ± 0% PPC 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0% ± 0%