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Canada


Toronto–St. Paul’s (federal)


MP: Carolyn Bennett (LPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

LPC safe hold
Toronto–St. Paul’s 43% ± 7% LPC 26% ± 6% CPC 18% ± 5% NDP 12% ± 5% GPC LPC 2021 49.16% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Toronto–St. Paul’s >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Toronto–St. Paul’s

LPC 43% ± 7% CPC 26% ± 6% NDP 18% ± 5% GPC 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Toronto–St. Paul’s 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Toronto–St. Paul’s

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Toronto–St. Paul’s



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 55.3% 54.3% 49.16% 43% ± 7% CPC 27.0% 21.6% 25.35% 26% ± 6% NDP 14.7% 15.8% 16.74% 18% ± 5% GPC 3.0% 6.8% 6.05% 12% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.5% 2.71% 1% ± 1% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%