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Toronto–St. Paul’s (federal)
MP: Carolyn Bennett (LPC)
Latest projection: January 29, 2023
LPC safe hold
Toronto–St. Paul’s
43% ± 7%
LPC
26% ± 6%
CPC
18% ± 5%
NDP
12% ± 5%
GPC
LPC 2021
49.16%
338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50%
100%
Toronto–St. Paul’s
>99%
LPC
<1%
CPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | January 29, 2023
Popular vote projection | Toronto–St. Paul’s
LPC 43% ± 7%
CPC 26% ± 6%
NDP 18% ± 5%
GPC 12% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Toronto–St. Paul’s
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Toronto–St. Paul’s
LPC >99%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Toronto–St. Paul’s
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
55.3%
54.3%
49.16%
43% ± 7%
CPC
27.0%
21.6%
25.35%
26% ± 6%
NDP
14.7%
15.8%
16.74%
18% ± 5%
GPC
3.0%
6.8%
6.05%
12% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.5%
2.71%
1% ± 1%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%