logo
Canada

Orléans



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC
Orléans 39% ± 7%▼ CPC 39% ± 8%▲ LPC 17% ± 5%▼ NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 52.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Orléans 54%▼ CPC 46%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Orléans



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 27.9% 28.7% 39% ± 7% LPC 54.9% 52.3% 39% ± 8% NDP 11.5% 14.4% 17% ± 5% GPC 4.5% 1.6% 3% ± 3% PPC 1.2% 2.6% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.