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Canada


Ottawa South (federal)


MP: David McGuinty (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC likely hold
Ottawa South 42% ± 7% LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 48.82% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Ottawa South 97% LPC 3% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Ottawa South

LPC 42% ± 7% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 20% ± 5% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Ottawa South 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Ottawa South

LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Ottawa South



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 60.1% 52.3% 48.82% 42% ± 7% CPC 24.3% 24.5% 26.07% 31% ± 7% NDP 11.6% 16.0% 19.34% 20% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.1% 3.17% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.9% 5.6% 2.36% 5% ± 4% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%