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Canada


Durham (federal)


MP: Erin O’Toole (CPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

CPC safe hold
Durham 50% ± 8% CPC 27% ± 6% LPC 20% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% PPC CPC 2021 46.47% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Durham >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Durham

LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 50% ± 8% NDP 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Durham 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Durham

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Durham



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 45.1% 42.1% 46.47% 50% ± 8% LPC 35.8% 32.2% 29.88% 27% ± 6% NDP 16.0% 18.2% 17.48% 20% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.0% 5.5% 3% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 2.5% 5.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%