338Canada | Durham (Ontario federal district)




35023 - Durham

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 130,870 residents
Population density: 150 pop./km² (rank: 188 of 338)
Median household income: $95 416 (rank: 41 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Erin O’Toole (CPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Durham

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Durham

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Durham



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Durham



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Durham


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
42.0% ± 6.8% 46.5% Within confidence interval
27.2% ± 5.7% 29.9% Within confidence interval
22.0% ± 5.1% 17.5% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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