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Canada


Cowichan–Malahat–Langford (federal)


MP: Alistair MacGregor (NDP)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

Toss up CPC/NDP
Cowichan–Malahat–Langford 39% ± 7% 36% ± 7%▼ 13% ± 4% 9% ± 5% 3% ± 3% NDP 2021 42.78% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Cowichan–Malahat–Langford 68%▲ 32%▼ <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford

LPC 13% ± 4% CPC 39% ± 7% NDP 36% ± 7% GPC 9% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford

LPC <1% CPC 68% NDP 32% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 35.9% 36.1% 42.78% 36% ± 7% CPC 22.8% 26.0% 28.36% 39% ± 7% LPC 23.8% 15.8% 16.37% 13% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.6% 6.28% 3% ± 3% GPC 16.9% 20.2% 6.22% 9% ± 5%