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Recent electoral history | Cowichan—Malahat—Langford


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 35% ± 6% 26.0% 28.4% 37.2% LPC 32% ± 6% 15.8% 16.4% 28.2% NDP 30% ± 7% 36.1% 42.8% 32.6% GPC 3% ± 3% 20.2% 6.2% 2.0% PPC 0% ± 1% 1.6% 6.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Cowichan—Malahat—Langford projection

Latest update: February 15, 2026

Cowichan—Malahat—Langford 28% 41% 35% ± 6% CPC 26% 38% 32% ± 6% LPC 23% 36% 30% ± 7% NDP 1% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2025 37.2% 338Canada vote projection | February 15, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cowichan—Malahat—Langford 65%▼ CPC 24%▲ LPC 10%▼ NDP Odds of winning | February 15, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Cowichan—Malahat—Langford

LPC 32% ± 6% CPC 35% ± 6% NDP 30% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Cowichan—Malahat—Langford 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC February 15, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 43% NDP 34% LPC 20% GPC 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 43% NDP 33% LPC 20% GPC 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 41% NDP 34% LPC 20% GPC 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 27% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 38% NDP 34% LPC 27% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 27% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 27% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 35% NDP 35% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 27% GPC 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 29% GPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 28% GPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 26% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 26% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 25% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 38% CPC 34% LPC 24% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 38% CPC 34% LPC 24% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 38% CPC 34% LPC 24% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 38% CPC 34% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 37% CPC 34% LPC 25% GPC 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 35% NDP 31% LPC 30% GPC 4% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 36% LPC 31% NDP 30% GPC 3% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 35% LPC 32% NDP 30% GPC 3% 2026-02-15

Odds of winning | Cowichan—Malahat—Langford

LPC 24% CPC 65% NDP 10% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 15, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 94% NDP 6% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 87% NDP 13% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 92% NDP 7% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 92% NDP 8% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 88% NDP 11% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 86% NDP 13% LPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 78% NDP 20% LPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 78% NDP 21% LPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 79% NDP 20% LPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 75% NDP 25% LPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 74% NDP 25% LPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 67% NDP 33% LPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 66% NDP 32% LPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 65% NDP 32% LPC 3% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 65% NDP 31% LPC 4% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 56% NDP 40% LPC 4% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 52% CPC 46% LPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 51% CPC 46% LPC 3% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 49% NDP 49% LPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 53% NDP 44% LPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 61% NDP 38% LPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 66% NDP 32% LPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 66% NDP 31% LPC 3% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 68% NDP 30% LPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 64% NDP 35% LPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 64% NDP 34% LPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 64% NDP 33% LPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 64% NDP 33% LPC 3% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 63% NDP 34% LPC 3% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 69% NDP 29% LPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 77% NDP 22% LPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 83% NDP 17% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 81% NDP 18% LPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 66% NDP 34% LPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 62% NDP 38% LPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 54% NDP 46% LPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 71% CPC 29% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 71% CPC 28% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 75% CPC 25% LPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 77% CPC 23% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 73% CPC 27% LPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 72% NDP 20% LPC 7% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 78% NDP 12% LPC 11% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 65% LPC 24% NDP 10% 2026-02-15


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Demographic data | Cowichan—Malahat—Langford

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 96.2% English 0.5% Punjabi 0.4% Tagalog 0.4% Mandarin 0.3% Spanish 0.3% French 0.3% KoreanCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 9.7% No diploma 29.6% High school 10.6% Trade 22.6% College / Cégep 4.1% Some university 15.7% Bachelor's 7.7% PostgraduateCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 90.1% Not visible minority 9.9% Visible minority 2.6% South Asian 1.6% Filipino 1.4% Chinese 1.1% Black 0.7% Latin American 0.6% Southeast AsianCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 62.0% No Religion 9.6% Catholic 7.0% Christian (n.o.s.) 4.7% Anglican 3.5% United Church 2.0% Other Christian 1.5% Baptist 1.5% Other ReligionsCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 73.4% Owner 25.7% Renter 0.9% Community housingCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 58.0% Employed 37.8% Not in labour force 4.2% UnemployedCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 90.1% Non-Indigenous 9.9% Indigenous identity 6.7% First Nations 2.9% Metis 0.1% Others 0.1% MultipleCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 87.7% Car / truck / van 5.6% Walking 2.8% Public transit 2.5% Other 1.5% BicycleCowichan—Malahat—LangfordSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.