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Edmonton Strathcona



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
NDP likely

Candidates | Edmonton Strathcona


Liberal Ron Thiering
Conservative Miles Berry
NDP Heather McPherson*
Green Atul Deshmukh
PPC David Wojtowicz
Communist Christian Bourque
Independent Graham Lettner

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Strathcona 43% ± 8%▲ NDP 31% ± 7% CPC 22% ± 6% LPC NDP 2021 58.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Strathcona 97% NDP 3% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC 22% ± 6% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 43% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Strathcona 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 46% CPC 37% LPC 13% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 45% CPC 34% LPC 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 42% CPC 32% LPC 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 43% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 44% CPC 31% LPC 21% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 44% CPC 31% LPC 21% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 45% CPC 31% LPC 21% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 45% CPC 31% LPC 21% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 46% CPC 31% LPC 20% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 45% CPC 31% LPC 20% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 45% CPC 31% LPC 20% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 45% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 44% CPC 33% LPC 20% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 45% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 45% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 45% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 45% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 45% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 44% CPC 32% LPC 21% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 43% CPC 33% LPC 21% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 42% CPC 33% LPC 21% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 42% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 42% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 42% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 42% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 42% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 42% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 42% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 42% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 43% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC <1% CPC 3% NDP 97% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Strathcona



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 44.8% 58.0% 43% ± 8% CPC 38.3% 26.8% 31% ± 7% LPC 12.7% 9.0% 22% ± 6% PPC 1.7% 4.5% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.1% 1.2% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.