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Recent electoral history | Edmonton Strathcona


2019 2021 2025 Projection NDP 46% ± 8% 44.8% 58.0% 47.0% CPC 33% ± 7% 38.3% 26.8% 33.1% LPC 18% ± 5% 12.7% 9.0% 17.9% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.7% 4.5% 0.6%

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338Canada Edmonton Strathcona projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Edmonton Strathcona 38% 54% 46% ± 8% NDP 26% 40% 33% ± 7% CPC 13% 24% 18% ± 5% LPC NDP 2025 47.0% 338Canada vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Strathcona 98%▼ NDP 2%▲ CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 33% ± 7% NDP 46% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Strathcona 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP 42% CPC 32% LPC 23% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 42% CPC 31% LPC 23% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 43% CPC 31% LPC 23% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 47% CPC 33% LPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 47% CPC 33% LPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 47% CPC 33% LPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 47% CPC 33% LPC 18% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 47% CPC 33% LPC 18% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 47% CPC 33% LPC 18% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 48% CPC 32% LPC 18% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 49% CPC 31% LPC 18% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 49% CPC 30% LPC 19% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 49% CPC 30% LPC 19% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 50% CPC 29% LPC 19% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 50% CPC 29% LPC 19% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 51% CPC 29% LPC 19% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 51% CPC 28% LPC 19% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 53% CPC 28% LPC 18% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 53% CPC 28% LPC 18% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 54% CPC 27% LPC 17% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 55% CPC 27% LPC 17% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 56% CPC 27% LPC 16% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 56% CPC 26% LPC 16% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 56% CPC 26% LPC 16% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP 57% CPC 26% LPC 16% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP 57% CPC 26% LPC 16% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP 57% CPC 26% LPC 16% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP 57% CPC 26% LPC 16% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP 57% CPC 26% LPC 16% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP 58% CPC 25% LPC 16% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP 57% CPC 25% LPC 16% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP 57% CPC 25% LPC 16% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP 57% CPC 25% LPC 16% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP 57% CPC 25% LPC 16% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 53% CPC 29% LPC 16% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 54% CPC 29% LPC 16% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 54% CPC 29% LPC 15% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 53% CPC 29% LPC 15% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 54% CPC 29% LPC 15% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 54% CPC 28% LPC 15% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 54% CPC 28% LPC 15% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 54% CPC 28% LPC 15% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 NDP 48% CPC 32% LPC 17% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 NDP 46% CPC 33% LPC 18% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC <1% CPC 2% NDP 98% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2026-02-08


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Demographic data | Edmonton Strathcona

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 88.1% English 2.0% Mandarin 1.6% French 0.9% Tagalog 0.7% Spanish 0.7% Arabic 0.6% CantoneseEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.5% No diploma 18.8% High school 7.2% Trade 16.1% College / Cégep 3.3% Some university 28.4% Bachelor's 19.7% PostgraduateEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 75.7% Not visible minority 24.3% Visible minority 5.9% Chinese 5.3% South Asian 3.1% Black 2.9% Filipino 1.4% Latin American 1.2% ArabEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 50.1% No Religion 17.1% Catholic 7.4% Christian (n.o.s.) 4.3% Muslim 3.2% United Church 2.7% Other Christian 2.4% Anglican 2.1% LutheranEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 51.5% Owner 48.5% RenterEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 59.1% Employed 32.4% Not in labour force 8.5% UnemployedEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 94.0% Non-Indigenous 6.0% Indigenous identity 3.1% Metis 2.7% First Nations 0.2% Multiple 0.1% InukEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 75.8% Car / truck / van 10.1% Public transit 8.6% Walking 3.0% Bicycle 2.5% OtherEdmonton StrathconaSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.