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Edmonton Strathcona



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
NDP likely
Edmonton Strathcona 54% ± 8% NDP 34% ± 7% CPC 7% ± 3% LPC NDP 2021 58.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Strathcona >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC 7% ± 3% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 54% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Strathcona 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 56% CPC 32% LPC 7% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 55% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 53% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 8% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 55% CPC 33% LPC 8% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 55% CPC 32% LPC 8% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 55% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 53% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 53% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 55% CPC 32% LPC 7% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 55% CPC 32% LPC 7% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 56% CPC 32% LPC 7% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 8% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 8% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 55% CPC 33% LPC 6% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 54% CPC 35% LPC 7% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 54% CPC 33% LPC 7% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 53% CPC 34% LPC 8% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 52% CPC 35% LPC 7% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 54% CPC 34% LPC 7% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Edmonton Strathcona

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Strathcona



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 44.8% 58.0% 54% ± 8% CPC 38.3% 26.8% 34% ± 7% LPC 12.7% 9.0% 7% ± 3% PPC 1.7% 4.5% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.1% 1.2% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.