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Canada

Laval—Les Îles


MP elect: Faycal El-Khoury (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Laval—Les Îles


Liberal Faycal El-Khoury*
Conservative Konstantinos Merakos
NDP Etienne Loiselle-Schiettekatte
Bloc Quebecois Catherine Dansereau-Redhead

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Laval—Les Îles 50% ± 6% LPC 32% ± 6% CPC 15% ± 4% BQ 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 49.7% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Laval—Les Îles >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Laval—Les Îles

LPC 50% ± 6% CPC 32% ± 6% NDP 3% ± 2% BQ 15% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Laval—Les Îles 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 29% LPC 28% BQ 26% NDP 11% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 29% CPC 29% BQ 25% NDP 11% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 29% CPC 29% BQ 24% NDP 11% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 31% CPC 27% BQ 24% NDP 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 34% CPC 26% BQ 22% NDP 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 37% CPC 26% BQ 22% NDP 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 39% CPC 26% BQ 21% NDP 8% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 42% CPC 25% BQ 19% NDP 8% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 42% CPC 25% BQ 19% NDP 8% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 44% CPC 24% BQ 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 46% CPC 23% BQ 17% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 17% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 17% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 17% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 49% CPC 22% BQ 17% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 50% CPC 22% BQ 17% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 50% CPC 22% BQ 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 51% CPC 22% BQ 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 51% CPC 22% BQ 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% CPC 23% BQ 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 52% CPC 22% BQ 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% CPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 54% CPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 56% CPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 21% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 57% CPC 21% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% CPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 59% CPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 59% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 59% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 58% CPC 24% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 57% CPC 24% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 56% CPC 25% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 56% CPC 25% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 25% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 26% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 58% CPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 50% CPC 32% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 50% CPC 32% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 50% CPC 32% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 50% CPC 32% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Laval—Les Îles

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 53% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 69% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Laval—Les Îles



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 50% ± 6% 48.2% 48.9% 49.7% CPC 32% ± 6% 16.3% 17.7% 32.2% BQ 15% ± 4% 20.6% 19.1% 14.6% NDP 3% ± 2% 8.9% 7.7% 3.4% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.6% 5.1% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.