338Canada | Elmwood–Transcona (Manitoba federal district)




46005 - Elmwood–Transcona

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 92,740 residents
Population density: 1869 pop./km² (rank: 95 of 338)
Median household income: $70 139 (rank: 168 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Daniel Blaikie (NDP)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

Your browser does not support the canvas element.



2021 Candidates | Elmwood–Transcona


Sarah Mirwaldt
Rejeanne Caron
Daniel Blaikie
Devlin Hinchey
Jamie Cumming





Federal vote projection | Elmwood–Transcona

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Elmwood–Transcona

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Elmwood–Transcona



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Elmwood–Transcona



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Elmwood–Transcona


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner
32.1% ± 8.8% 45.6% Outside confidence interval
39.1% ± 9.0% 37.5% Within confidence interval
20.5% ± 6.6% 12.3% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







Qc125.com © 2016-2021 - #1235