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Elmwood–Transcona (federal)
MP: Daniel Blaikie (NDP)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
NDP safe hold
Elmwood–Transcona
56% ± 8%
NDP
25% ± 7%
CPC
15% ± 5%
LPC
2% ± 2%
GPC
2% ± 2%
PPC
NDP 2021
49.69%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Elmwood–Transcona
>99%
NDP
<1%
CPC
<1%
LPC
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Elmwood–Transcona
LPC 15% ± 5%
CPC 25% ± 7%
NDP 56% ± 8%
Popular vote projection % | Elmwood–Transcona
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
Odds of winning | Elmwood–Transcona
LPC <1%
CPC <1%
NDP >99%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Elmwood–Transcona
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
NDP
34.1%
45.6%
49.69%
56% ± 8%
CPC
34.0%
37.5%
28.13%
25% ± 7%
LPC
29.5%
12.3%
14.74%
15% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.2%
5.82%
2% ± 2%
GPC
2.4%
3.4%
1.62%
2% ± 2%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%