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Canada


Elmwood–Transcona (federal)


MP: Daniel Blaikie (NDP)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

NDP safe hold
Elmwood–Transcona 56% ± 8% NDP 25% ± 7% CPC 15% ± 5% LPC 2% ± 2% GPC 2% ± 2% PPC NDP 2021 49.69% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Elmwood–Transcona >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Elmwood–Transcona

LPC 15% ± 5% CPC 25% ± 7% NDP 56% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Elmwood–Transcona 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Elmwood–Transcona

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Elmwood–Transcona



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 34.1% 45.6% 49.69% 56% ± 8% CPC 34.0% 37.5% 28.13% 25% ± 7% LPC 29.5% 12.3% 14.74% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.2% 5.82% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 3.4% 1.62% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%