338Canada | Montcalm (Québec federal district)




24050 - Montcalm

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 107,980 residents
Population density: 123 pop./km² (rank: 195 of 338)
Median household income: $65 941 (rank: 209 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Luc Thériault (BQ)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Montcalm

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Montcalm

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Montcalm



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Montcalm



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Montcalm


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
52.9% ± 7.5% 53.2% Within confidence interval
19.8% ± 5.3% 19.8% Within confidence interval
10.5% ± 4.2% 11.7% Within confidence interval
8.0% ± 3.5% 6.3% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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