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Canada


Montcalm (federal)


MP: Luc Thériault (BQ)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

BQ safe hold
Montcalm 50% ± 7% BQ 20% ± 6% LPC 13% ± 4% CPC 8% ± 4% NDP 6% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 3% PPC BQ 2021 53.21% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Montcalm >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Montcalm

LPC 20% ± 6% CPC 13% ± 4% NDP 8% ± 4% GPC 6% ± 4% BQ 50% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Montcalm 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Montcalm

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Montcalm



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 36.6% 58.0% 53.21% 50% ± 7% LPC 27.3% 20.4% 19.82% 20% ± 6% CPC 9.6% 9.0% 11.68% 13% ± 4% NDP 23.5% 6.4% 6.25% 8% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 4.39% 3% ± 3% GPC 1.8% 4.4% 2.56% 6% ± 4%