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Canada

Moncton—Dieppe


MP elect: Ginette Petitpas Taylor (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Moncton—Dieppe


Liberal Ginette Petitpas Taylor*
Conservative Jocelyn Dionne
NDP Serge Landry
Green Marshall Dunn

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Moncton—Dieppe 63% ± 0%▼ LPC 31% ± 0%▲ CPC 4% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 63.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moncton—Dieppe >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Moncton—Dieppe

LPC 63% ± 0% CPC 31% ± 0% NDP 4% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Moncton—Dieppe 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 52% CPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 56% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 61% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 61% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 61% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 64% CPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 64% CPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 64% CPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 64% CPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 65% CPC 25% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 65% CPC 25% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 64% CPC 25% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 64% CPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 66% CPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 66% CPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 66% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 65% CPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 64% CPC 27% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 63% CPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 63% CPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 63% CPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 64% CPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 64% CPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 63% CPC 31% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Moncton—Dieppe

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Moncton—Dieppe



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 63% ± 0% 44.2% 50.0% 63.0% CPC 31% ± 0% 22.8% 22.6% 31.3% NDP 4% ± 0% 11.8% 16.8% 3.8% GPC 2% ± 0% 17.5% 4.3% 2.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 2.4% 6.3% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.