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Canada

Moncton—Dieppe



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC
Moncton—Dieppe 37% ± 8%▼ CPC 37% ± 8%▲ LPC 18% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 50.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moncton—Dieppe 52%▼ CPC 48%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Moncton—Dieppe



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 22.8% 22.6% 37% ± 8% LPC 44.2% 50.0% 37% ± 8% NDP 11.8% 16.8% 18% ± 6% GPC 17.5% 4.3% 5% ± 4% PPC 2.4% 6.3% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.