338Canada | Scarborough–Guildwood (Ontario federal district)




35095 - Scarborough–Guildwood

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 102,385 residents
Population density: 3944 pop./km² (rank: 36 of 338)
Median household income: $57 694 (rank: 273 of 338)
Member of Parliament: John McKay (LPC)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Scarborough–Guildwood

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Scarborough–Guildwood

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Scarborough–Guildwood



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Scarborough–Guildwood




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Scarborough–Guildwood



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Scarborough–Guildwood


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
51.8% ± 9.0% 61.1% Outside confidence interval
25.8% ± 7.4% 22.4% Within confidence interval
15.0% ± 5.6% 11.2% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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