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Atlantic Canada

32 federal districts
Latest update: May 17, 2026

Atlantic Canada 49% 59% 54% ± 5% LPC 29% 38% 34% ± 5% CPC 4% 11% 8% ± 3% NDP 338Canada federal vote projection | May 17, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Atlantic Canada, 32 federal districts 27 [24-31] LPC 5 [1-8] CPC 338Canada seat projection | May 17, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Federal Projection | Atlantic Canada

Federal Seat Projection | Atlantic Canada


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List of districts | Atlantic Canada
Latest update: May 17, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Paul Connors
L LPC safe
Tom Osborne
L LPC safe
Clifford Small
C CPC leaning
Philip Earle
L LPC likely
Carol Anstey
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Joanne Thompson
L LPC safe
C LPC leaning
Kent McDonald
L LPC likely
Sean Casey
L LPC safe
Bobby Morrissey
L LPC likely
Heath MacDonald
L LPC safe
Chris d’Entremont [Elected as CPC]
L LPC likely
L LPC likely
Sean Fraser
L LPC likely
L LPC likely
Darren Fisher
L LPC safe
Shannon Miedema
L LPC safe
Lena Metlege Diab
L LPC safe
Kody Blois
L LPC safe
L LPC safe
Jessica Fancy-Landry
L LPC safe
Mike Kelloway
L LPC safe
Serge Cormier
L LPC safe
Dominic LeBlanc
L LPC safe
L LPC safe
Rob Moore
C CPC leaning
Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
L LPC safe
C LPC leaning
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
L LPC safe
L LPC safe
John Williamson
C CPC leaning
Richard Bragdon
C CPC likely