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338Canada federal projection | Atlantic Canada, 32 districts


Latest update: May 25, 2025
Atlantic Canada 55% ± 4% LPC 38% ± 4% CPC 4% ± 1% NDP 338Canada federal vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Atlantic Canada, 32 federal districts 24▼ [21-28] LPC 8▲ [4-11] CPC 0 [0-0] NDP 0 [0-0] GPC 338Canada seat projection | May 25, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Federal vote projection | Atlantic Canada

LPC 55% ± 4% CPC 38% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Atlantic Canada 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 47% LPC 29% NDP 17% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 47% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 46% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 45% LPC 32% NDP 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 41% LPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 44% CPC 36% NDP 13% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 48% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 56% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 56% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 56% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 56% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 56% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 56% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Federal seat projection | Atlantic Canada

LPC 24 [21-28] CPC 8 [4-11] Seat projection | Atlantic Canada 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 26 LPC 5 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 26 LPC 5 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 25 LPC 6 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 24 LPC 8 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 23 LPC 9 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 21 LPC 11 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 16 CPC 16 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 21 CPC 11 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 29 CPC 3 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 29 CPC 3 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 29 CPC 3 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 29 CPC 3 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 29 CPC 3 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 29 CPC 3 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 27 CPC 5 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 26 CPC 6 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 26 CPC 6 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 26 CPC 6 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 26 CPC 6 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 26 CPC 6 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 26 CPC 6 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 26 CPC 6 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 24 CPC 8 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 24 CPC 8 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 25 CPC 7 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 24 CPC 8 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Seat projection | Atlantic Canada


Latest update: May 25, 2025
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2025)
14 7 2 1 24 25
1 3 1 3 8 7
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Atlantic Canada


Latest update: May 25, 2025
Electoral district Transposed
2021 winner
Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland CPC likely
10004 Labrador LPC leaning
10005 Long Range Mountains CPC leaning
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas Toss up LPC/CPC
11001 Cardigan LPC likely
11002 Charlottetown LPC safe
11003 Egmont LPC leaning
11004 Malpeque LPC likely
12001 Acadie—Annapolis Toss up LPC/CPC
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely
12003 Central Nova LPC likely
12004 Cumberland—Colchester Toss up LPC/CPC
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC safe
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC safe
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay LPC likely
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe
13004 Fundy Royal CPC likely
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake Toss up LPC/CPC
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC likely
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC safe