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Canada

Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan


MP elect: Marilene Gill (BQ)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
BQ safe

Candidates | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan


Liberal Kevin Coutu
Conservative Melanie Dorion
NDP Marika Lalime
Bloc Quebecois Marilene Gill*
Rhinoceros Sebastien Beaulieu
No Affiliation Gilles Babin

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan 44% ± 7% BQ 27% ± 6% LPC 25% ± 6% CPC BQ 2025 43.7% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan

LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 25% ± 6% BQ 44% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 53% CPC 32% LPC 8% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 52% CPC 33% LPC 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 51% CPC 33% LPC 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 52% CPC 32% LPC 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 50% CPC 32% LPC 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 49% CPC 32% LPC 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 48% CPC 32% LPC 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 46% CPC 32% LPC 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 45% CPC 33% LPC 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 45% CPC 33% LPC 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 44% CPC 32% LPC 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 45% CPC 32% LPC 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 44% CPC 31% LPC 19% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 44% CPC 31% LPC 20% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 43% CPC 31% LPC 20% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 42% CPC 32% LPC 20% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 41% CPC 33% LPC 21% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 41% CPC 33% LPC 21% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 21% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 41% CPC 33% LPC 21% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 23% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 42% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 41% CPC 31% LPC 23% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 41% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 40% CPC 32% LPC 24% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 40% CPC 31% LPC 23% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 40% CPC 32% LPC 23% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 41% CPC 31% LPC 23% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 23% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 41% CPC 31% LPC 23% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 41% CPC 31% LPC 23% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 41% CPC 32% LPC 22% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 41% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 41% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 21% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 40% CPC 33% LPC 22% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 44% LPC 27% CPC 25% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 44% LPC 27% CPC 25% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 44% LPC 27% CPC 25% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 44% LPC 27% CPC 25% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 89% CPC 11% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 86% CPC 14% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 86% CPC 14% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 87% CPC 13% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 89% CPC 11% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 87% CPC 13% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 86% CPC 14% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 90% CPC 10% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 90% CPC 10% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 90% CPC 10% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 88% CPC 12% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 86% CPC 14% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 86% CPC 14% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan



2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 44% ± 7% 53.9% 52.6% 43.7% LPC 27% ± 6% 19.3% 18.7% 27.4% CPC 25% ± 6% 19.2% 21.8% 25.2% IND 2% ± 2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 2% ± 2% 3.7% 4.3% 1.7% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.