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Canada


Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
BQ safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan 51% ± 8% BQ 32% ± 8% CPC 11% ± 5% LPC 5% ± 3% NDP BQ 2021 52.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan

LPC 11% ± 5% CPC 32% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 51% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 53.9% 52.6% 51% ± 8% CPC 19.2% 21.8% 32% ± 8% LPC 19.3% 18.7% 11% ± 5% NDP 3.7% 4.3% 5% ± 3% GPC 3.2% 0.0% 1% ± 2% PPC 0.7% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.