338Canada | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan (Saskatchewan federal district)





47005 - Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan

Province: Saskatchewan
Population (2016): 79,730 residents
Population density: 2.47 pop./km² (rank: 308 of 338)
Median household income: $75 320 (rank: 125 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Fraser Tolmie (CPC)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
53.2% ± 7.6% 60.4% Within confidence interval
17.2% ± 5.0% 19.4% Within confidence interval
14.5% ± 5.2% 11.4% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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