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Canada


Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan (federal)


MP: Fraser Tolmie (CPC)


Latest projection: March 19, 2023

CPC safe hold
Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan 59% ± 8% CPC 23% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 3% LPC 5% ± 4% PPC 2% ± 2% IND 2% ± 2% MAV CPC 2021 60.39% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50% 100% Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | March 19, 2023


Popular vote projection | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan

LPC 6% ± 3% CPC 59% ± 8% NDP 23% ± 7% PPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC

Odds of winning | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 55.5% 71.1% 60.39% 59% ± 8% NDP 23.8% 17.0% 19.36% 23% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 3.6% 11.44% 5% ± 4% LPC 18.0% 5.6% 6.13% 6% ± 3% GPC 2.3% 2.7% 1.06% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%