British Columbia

43 federal districts

Latest update: February 8, 2026

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British Columbia

43 federal districts

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.

Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Federal vote projection | British Columbia

Federal seat projection | British Columbia

List of districts | British Columbia
Latest update: February 8, 2026

Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
Abbotsford—South Langley Sukhman Singh Gill	C	CPC likely
Burnaby Central Wade Wei Lin Chang	L	LPC leaning
Burnaby North—Seymour Terry Beech	L	LPC safe
Cariboo—Prince George Todd Doherty	C	CPC safe
Chilliwack—Hope Mark Strahl	C	CPC safe
Cloverdale—Langley City Tamara Jansen	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies Rob Morrison	C	CPC safe
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Ron McKinnon	L	LPC leaning
Courtenay—Alberni Gord Johns	N	NDP leaning
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Jeff Kibble	C	CPC leaning
Delta Jill McKnight	L	LPC leaning
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke Stephanie McLean	L	LPC safe
Fleetwood—Port Kells Gurbux Saini	L	Toss up LPC/CPC
Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies Mel Arnold	C	CPC likely
Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola Frank Caputo	C	CPC likely
Kelowna Stephen Fuhr	L	Toss up LPC/CPC
Langley Township—Fraser Heights Tako van Popta	C	CPC likely
Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford Brad Vis	C	CPC safe
Nanaimo—Ladysmith Tamara Kronis	C	CPC likely
New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Jake Sawatzky	L	LPC leaning
North Island—Powell River Aaron Gunn	C	CPC leaning
North Vancouver—Capilano Jonathan Wilkinson	L	LPC safe
Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna Dan Albas	C	CPC leaning
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Marc Dalton	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
Port Moody—Coquitlam Zoe Royer	L	LPC leaning
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies Bob Zimmer	C	CPC safe
Richmond Centre—Marpole Chak Au	C	CPC leaning
Richmond East—Steveston Parm Bains	L	Toss up LPC/CPC
Saanich—Gulf Islands Elizabeth May	G	GPC likely
Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay Helena Konanz	C	CPC leaning
Skeena—Bulkley Valley Ellis Ross	C	CPC likely
South Surrey—White Rock Ernie Klassen	L	LPC leaning
Surrey Centre Randeep Sarai	L	LPC leaning
Surrey Newton Sukh Dhaliwal	L	LPC leaning
Vancouver Centre Hedy Fry	L	LPC safe
Vancouver East Jenny Kwan	N	Toss up LPC/NDP
Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby Gregor Robertson	L	LPC likely
Vancouver Granville Taleeb Noormohamed	L	LPC safe
Vancouver Kingsway Don Davies	N	Toss up LPC/NDP
Vancouver Quadra Wade Grant	L	LPC safe
Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee Scott Anderson	C	CPC likely
Victoria Will Greaves	L	LPC safe
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country Patrick Weiler	L	LPC safe

British Columbia

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