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338Canada federal projection | British Columbia, 42 districts


Latest update: October 1, 2023
British Columbia 40% ± 6%▼ 26% ± 5%▲ 25% ± 5%▲ 7% ± 3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
British Columbia, 42 federal districts 25▼ [17-32] 10▲ [4-16] 6 [4-10] 1 [1-2] 338Canada seat projection | October 1, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | British Columbia

LPC 26% ± 5% CPC 40% ± 6% NDP 25% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 3% 338Canada Popular vote projection % | British Columbia 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Seat projection | British Columbia

LPC 10 [4-16] CPC 25 [17-32] NDP 6 [4-10] GPC 1 [1-2] 338Canada seat projection | British Columbia 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2021)
13 3 5 4 25 13
3 1 3 3 10 15
4 1 1 0 6 13
1 0 0 0 1 1

List of electoral districts


Latest update: October 1, 2023
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
59001 Abbotsford CPC safe hold
59002 Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning hold
59003 Burnaby South NDP leaning hold
59004 Cariboo–Prince George CPC safe hold
59005 Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola CPC safe hold
59006 Chilliwack–Hope CPC safe hold
59007 Cloverdale–Langley City CPC leaning gain
59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Toss up LPC/CPC
59009 Courtenay–Alberni CPC leaning gain
59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford Toss up CPC/NDP
59011 Delta Toss up LPC/CPC
59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells Toss up LPC/CPC
59013 Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo CPC safe hold
59014 Kelowna–Lake Country CPC safe hold
59015 Kootenay–Columbia CPC safe hold
59016 Langley–Aldergrove CPC safe hold
59017 Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon CPC safe hold
59018 Nanaimo–Ladysmith CPC leaning gain
59019 New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe hold
59020 North Okanagan–Shuswap CPC safe hold
59021 North Vancouver LPC leaning hold
59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge CPC safe hold
59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam CPC likely gain
59024 Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies CPC safe hold
59025 Richmond Centre CPC leaning gain
59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely hold
59027 Saanich–Gulf Islands GPC safe hold
59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley CPC likely gain
59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay CPC likely gain
59030 South Surrey–White Rock CPC safe hold
59031 Steveston–Richmond East Toss up LPC/CPC
59032 Surrey Centre LPC safe hold
59033 Surrey–Newton LPC safe hold
59034 Vancouver Centre LPC likely hold
59035 Vancouver East NDP safe hold
59036 Vancouver Granville Toss up LPC/CPC
59037 North Island–Powell River CPC leaning gain
59038 Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe hold
59039 Vancouver Quadra LPC leaning hold
59040 Vancouver South LPC safe hold
59041 Victoria NDP safe hold
59042 West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country Toss up LPC/CPC