British Columbia

43 federal districts

Latest update: September 20, 2026

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British Columbia

43 federal districts

Latest update: September 20, 2026

Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.

Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Federal Projection | British Columbia

Federal Seat Projection | British Columbia

List of districts | British Columbia
Latest update: September 20, 2026

Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
Abbotsford—South Langley Sukhman Singh Gill	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
Burnaby Central Wade Wei Lin Chang	L	LPC likely
Burnaby North—Seymour Terry Beech	L	LPC safe
Cariboo—Prince George Todd Doherty	C	CPC likely
Chilliwack—Hope Mark Strahl	C	CPC leaning
Cloverdale—Langley City Tamara Jansen	C	LPC likely
Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies Rob Morrison	C	CPC likely
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Ron McKinnon	L	LPC likely
Courtenay—Alberni Gord Johns	N	NDP likely
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Jeff Kibble	C	Toss up LPC/NDP
Delta Jill McKnight	L	LPC likely
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke Stephanie McLean	L	LPC safe
Fleetwood—Port Kells Gurbux Saini	L	LPC likely
Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies Mel Arnold	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola Frank Caputo	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
Kelowna Stephen Fuhr	L	LPC likely
Langley Township—Fraser Heights Tako van Popta	C	Toss up LPC/CPC
Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford Brad Vis	C	CPC likely
Nanaimo—Ladysmith Tamara Kronis	C	LPC leaning
New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Jake Sawatzky	L	Toss up LPC/NDP
North Island—Powell River Aaron Gunn	C	NDP leaning
North Vancouver—Capilano Braeden Caley	L	LPC safe
Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna Dan Albas	C	LPC leaning
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Marc Dalton	C	LPC likely
Port Moody—Coquitlam Zoe Royer	L	LPC likely
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies Bob Zimmer	C	CPC safe
Richmond Centre—Marpole Chak Au	C	LPC leaning
Richmond East—Steveston Parm Bains	L	LPC likely
Saanich—Gulf Islands Elizabeth May	G	GPC likely
Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay Helena Konanz	C	LPC leaning
Skeena—Bulkley Valley Ellis Ross	C	NDP leaning
South Surrey—White Rock Ernie Klassen	L	LPC likely
Surrey Centre Randeep Sarai	L	LPC likely
Surrey Newton Sukh Dhaliwal	L	LPC likely
Vancouver Centre Hedy Fry	L	LPC safe
Vancouver East Jenny Kwan	N	NDP leaning
Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby Gregor Robertson	L	LPC safe
Vancouver Granville Taleeb Noormohamed	L	LPC safe
Vancouver Kingsway Don Davies	N	NDP leaning
Vancouver Quadra Wade Grant	L	LPC safe
Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee Scott Anderson	C	LPC leaning
Victoria Will Greaves	L	LPC safe
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country Patrick Weiler	L	LPC safe

British Columbia

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