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Canada

Beaches—East York



Latest projection: February 16, 2025
LPC safe
Beaches—East York 51% ± 9%▲ LPC 20% ± 6%▼ CPC 18% ± 6%▼ NDP 8% ± 5% GPC LPC 2021 56.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 16, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beaches—East York >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 16, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Beaches—East York



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 57.2% 56.6% 51% ± 9% CPC 14.1% 14.4% 20% ± 6% NDP 21.4% 22.5% 18% ± 6% GPC 5.9% 2.7% 8% ± 5% PPC 1.5% 3.2% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.