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Canada


Beaches–East York (federal)


MP: Nathaniel Erskine—Smith (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC safe hold
Beaches–East York 53% ± 8% LPC 23% ± 6% NDP 15% ± 5% CPC 6% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 56.58% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Beaches–East York >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Beaches–East York

LPC 53% ± 8% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 23% ± 6% GPC 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Beaches–East York 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Beaches–East York

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Beaches–East York



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.4% 57.2% 56.58% 53% ± 8% NDP 30.8% 21.4% 22.52% 23% ± 6% CPC 16.4% 14.1% 14.35% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.5% 3.16% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.6% 5.9% 2.72% 6% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%