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Beaches–East York (federal)
MP: Nathaniel Erskine—Smith (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC safe hold
Beaches–East York
53% ± 8%
LPC
23% ± 6%
NDP
15% ± 5%
CPC
6% ± 3%
GPC
LPC 2021
56.58%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Beaches–East York
>99%
LPC
<1%
NDP
<1%
CPC
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Beaches–East York
LPC 53% ± 8%
CPC 15% ± 5%
NDP 23% ± 6%
GPC 6% ± 3%
Popular vote projection % | Beaches–East York
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Beaches–East York
LPC >99%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Beaches–East York
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
49.4%
57.2%
56.58%
53% ± 8%
NDP
30.8%
21.4%
22.52%
23% ± 6%
CPC
16.4%
14.1%
14.35%
15% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.5%
3.16%
2% ± 2%
GPC
2.6%
5.9%
2.72%
6% ± 3%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%