338Canada | Madawaska–Restigouche (New Brunswick federal district)




13005 - Madawaska–Restigouche

Province: New Brunswick
Population (2016): 60,380 residents
Population density: 5.16 pop./km² (rank: 287 of 338)
Median household income: $51 281 (rank: 319 of 338)
Member of Parliament: René Arseneault (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Madawaska–Restigouche


René Arseneault
Shawn Beaulieu
Elizabeth MacDonald
Rebecca Blaevoet
Nancer Mercier
Louis Berube (FPC)





Federal vote projection | Madawaska–Restigouche

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Madawaska–Restigouche

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Madawaska–Restigouche



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Madawaska–Restigouche



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Madawaska–Restigouche


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
44.4% ± 9.5% 50.3% Within confidence interval
19.0% ± 6.6% 28.4% Outside confidence interval
11.2% ± 5.1% 14.9% Within confidence interval
25.0% ± 8.2% 6.4% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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