338Canada | Saint John–Rothesay (New Brunswick federal district)





13009 - Saint John–Rothesay

Province: New Brunswick
Population (2016): 79,365 residents
Population density: 203 pop./km² (rank: 183 of 338)
Median household income: $55 907 (rank: 291 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Wayne Long (LPC)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Saint John–Rothesay

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Saint John–Rothesay

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Saint John–Rothesay



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Saint John–Rothesay



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Saint John–Rothesay


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner
34.0% ± 6.8% 46.4% Outside confidence interval
36.4% ± 7.0% 32.9% Within confidence interval
17.2% ± 4.8% 12.9% Within confidence interval
9.8% ± 4.6% 5.3% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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