338Canada | Saint John–Rothesay (New Brunswick federal district)




13009 - Saint John–Rothesay

Province: New Brunswick
Population (2016): 79,365 residents
Population density: 203 pop./km² (rank: 183 of 338)
Median household income: $55 907 (rank: 291 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Wayne Long (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Saint John–Rothesay


Wayne Long
Mel Norton
Don Paulin
Ann McAllister
Nicholas Pereira





Federal vote projection | Saint John–Rothesay

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Saint John–Rothesay

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Saint John–Rothesay



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Saint John–Rothesay



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Saint John–Rothesay


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
37.0% ± 8.6% 37.4% Within confidence interval
30.7% ± 8.0% 34.0% Within confidence interval
15.3% ± 5.7% 12.2% Within confidence interval
11.4% ± 4.8% 10.1% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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